Zadar vs Perspektiva Ilirija prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 157 Margin ZAD by 5 Win ZAD 62% Actual 165 · ZAD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Zadar vs Perspektiva Ilirija
Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Zadar at home, last 4 games · Perspektiva Ilirija away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Zadar 1, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.
- Average total 155.5 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAD by 5 Dec 19, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 19, 2025 ABA League Zadar 74–69 Perspektiva Ilirija 143 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 ABA League Perspektiva Ilirija 85–83 Zadar 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 23: Zadar 87, Dinamo Zagreb 61. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.03, Dinamo Zagreb 6.70.
- Oct 18: Split 73, Zadar 84. Won. Odds: Split 1.80, Zadar 1.88.
- Oct 16: Vienna Basket 78, Zadar 63. Lost. Odds: Vienna Basket 1.49, Zadar 2.65.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Won. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
- Oct 11: Mega Basket 88, Zadar 82. Lost. Odds: Mega Basket 1.80, Zadar 1.94.
- Oct 21: Perspektiva Ilirija 78, Tajfun Sentjur 62. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.03, Tajfun Sentjur 5.40.
- Oct 18: Perspektiva Ilirija 96, Mega Basket 62. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.70, Mega Basket 2.00.
- Oct 14: Zlatorog Lasko 69, Perspektiva Ilirija 93. Won. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 6.10, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.09.
- Oct 10: Perspektiva Ilirija 76, Spartak Subotica 82. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 2.12, Spartak Subotica 1.45.
- Oct 7: Perspektiva Ilirija 82, KK Krka Novo mesto 83. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.87, KK Krka Novo mesto 1.80.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Perspektiva Ilirija coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Zadar dropped from 1.45 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Perspektiva Ilirija, 1 for Zadar.
- Net rating difference of 16.2 — Zadar +24.3 per 100 possessions, Perspektiva Ilirija +8.1.
- 5th vs 4th in the ABA League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ZAD moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.28 |
| PER moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 3.00 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved down 157.5 |
| ZAD spread | −5.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ABA League standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 353 | 301 | +52 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 378 | 328 | +50 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 450 | 433 | +17 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 396 | 406 | −10 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 319 | 301 | +18 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 355 | 343 | +12 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 330 | 328 | +2 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 409 | 439 | −30 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 303 | 349 | −46 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 406 | 471 | −65 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Zadar host Perspektiva Ilirija in the ABA League on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.