Zadar vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin ZAD by 14 Win ZAD 81% Actual 148 · ZAD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Zadar vs Dinamo Zagreb
Last 10 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Zadar 3, Dinamo Zagreb 0.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAD by 20 Mar 29, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 29, 2026 Premijer liga Zadar 99–79 Dinamo Zagreb 178 pts
- Jan 24, 2026 Premijer liga Dinamo Zagreb 71–107 Zadar 178 pts
- Nov 9, 2025 Premijer liga Zadar 82–72 Dinamo Zagreb 154 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Split 73, Zadar 84. Won. Odds: Split 1.80, Zadar 1.88.
- Oct 16: Vienna Basket 78, Zadar 63. Lost. Odds: Vienna Basket 1.49, Zadar 2.65.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Won. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
- Oct 11: Mega Basket 88, Zadar 82. Lost. Odds: Mega Basket 1.80, Zadar 1.94.
- Oct 5: Zadar 79, Studentski Centar 65. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.41, Studentski Centar 2.81.
- Oct 17: Dinamo Zagreb 85, Dubrava 62. Won. Odds: Dinamo Zagreb 1.30, Dubrava 2.55.
- Oct 11: Kvarner 100, Dinamo Zagreb 55. Lost. Odds: Kvarner 1.80, Dinamo Zagreb 1.90.
- Oct 3: Dinamo Zagreb 94, Dubrovnik 85. Won. Odds: Dinamo Zagreb 1.35, Dubrovnik 2.92.
- Sep 26: Dinamo Zagreb 80, Zabok 78. Won. Odds: Dinamo Zagreb 1.57, Zabok 2.25.
- May 20: Kastela 82, Dinamo Zagreb 101. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Zadar.
- Net rating difference of 29.3 — Zadar +24.3 per 100 possessions, Dinamo Zagreb −5.0.
- 4-1 in the last five for Dinamo Zagreb.
- 170.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
- 1st vs 5th in the Premijer liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ZAD moneyline | 1.07 | moved down 1.03 |
| DIN moneyline | 6.80 | moved down 6.70 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| ZAD spread | −16.5 | moved down −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 | |
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Zadar host Dinamo Zagreb in the Premijer liga on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.