Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Odds — Oct 21

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NBA Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start19:00ET

Washington WizardsHome · 3-3 · 8th · 1.58

12825263938

Milwaukee BucksAway · 1-5 · 10th · 2.46

11623333723

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Washington Wizards 25 26 39 38

Milwaukee Bucks 23 33 37 23

FT Capital One Arena · USACapital One Arena

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

U243.5 1.56 85%

Under 243.5 points edge +7.7%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost U243.5 1.56 Under 243.5 points Confidence85% model 68.1% · market 60.4% edge +7.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.47 43.1% 38.0% +5.1% 51% Lost

Total points U243.5 1.56 68.1% 60.4% +7.7% 85% Lost

Point spread MIL +5.5 1.80 66.0% 49.3% +16.7% 76% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Washington Wizards128116

Milwaukee Bucks116118

Total 234 actual 244

Winning margin MIL by 2 actual WAS by 12

Chance to win MIL 53% WAS won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Washington Wizards128116

Milwaukee Bucks116118

Total 234 Margin MIL by 2 Win MIL 53% Actual 244 · WAS won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Washington Wizards large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Milwaukee Bucks

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks

Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks

Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Washington Wizards 2-3

Oct 16: New Orleans Pelicans 107, Washington Wizards 106. Lost. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 1.82, Washington Wizards 1.88.
Oct 12: Washington Wizards 122, Brooklyn Nets 131. Lost. Odds: Washington Wizards 1.63, Brooklyn Nets 2.19.
Oct 10: Washington Wizards 114, Detroit Pistons 108. After overtime. Won. Odds: Washington Wizards 2.04, Detroit Pistons 1.69.
Oct 8: New York Knicks 109, Washington Wizards 111. Won. Odds: New York Knicks 1.36, Washington Wizards 2.87.
Apr 12: Cleveland Cavaliers 130, Washington Wizards 117. Lost. No odds on record.

Milwaukee Bucks 2-3

Oct 16: Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. After overtime. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.26, Milwaukee Bucks 3.05.
Oct 14: Milwaukee Bucks 104, Chicago Bulls 125. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.48, Chicago Bulls 1.50.
Oct 11: Charlotte Hornets 105, Milwaukee Bucks 90. Lost. Odds: Charlotte Hornets 1.63, Milwaukee Bucks 2.13.
Oct 7: Oklahoma City Thunder 126, Milwaukee Bucks 128. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.18, Milwaukee Bucks 4.46.
Oct 5: Milwaukee Bucks 97, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.65, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.50.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
WAS moneyline	1.47	moved up 1.58
MIL moneyline	2.60	moved down 2.46
Total points	238.5	238.5
WAS spread	−5.5	moved up −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBA standings

Pre-season · Eastern Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Boston Celtics	4	4	0	1.000	507	432	+75
2	Atlanta Hawks	5	4	1	.800	613	586	+27
3	Brooklyn Nets	4	3	1	.750	497	464	+33
4	Orlando Magic	4	3	1	.750	495	468	+27
5	Detroit Pistons	4	3	1	.750	474	452	+22
6	Chicago Bulls	5	3	2	.600	610	574	+36
7	Miami Heat	5	3	2	.600	640	612	+28
8	Washington Wizards	4	2	2	.500	453	455	−2
9	Toronto Raptors	5	2	3	.400	612	584	+28
10	Milwaukee Bucks	5	2	3	.400	547	599	−52
11	Cleveland Cavaliers	3	1	2	.333	348	361	−13
12	Indiana Pacers	4	1	3	.250	479	473	+6
13	Philadelphia 76ers	4	1	3	.250	454	480	−26
14	Charlotte Hornets	4	1	3	.250	386	444	−58
15	New York Knicks	5	1	4	.200	530	621	−91

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Washington Wizards host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.