Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun prediction
Washington Mystics
23
21
22
13
Connecticut Sun
16
26
16
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Washington Mystics7988Connecticut Sun6985Washington Mystics7988Connecticut Sun6985Total 173 Margin WAS by 3 Win WAS 58% Actual 148 · WAS won
Washington Mystics
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Connecticut Sun
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun
Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Washington Mystics at home, last 23 games · Connecticut Sun away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Washington Mystics 2, Connecticut Sun 3.
- Average total 148.4 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting WAS by 8 Jul 28, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 28, 2026 WNBA Washington Mystics 92–84 Connecticut Sun 176 pts
- Jun 26, 2026 WNBA Connecticut Sun 68–57 Washington Mystics 125 pts
- Jun 17, 2026 WNBA Connecticut Sun 81–88 Washington Mystics 169 pts
- Aug 21, 2025 WNBA Connecticut Sun 67–56 Washington Mystics 123 pts
- Aug 19, 2025 WNBA Washington Mystics 69–80 Connecticut Sun 149 pts
Last five games
Washington Mystics
4-1 - Sep 20: Indiana Fever 77, Washington Mystics 93. Won. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.37, Washington Mystics 3.00.
- Sep 17: Chicago Sky 80, Washington Mystics 110. Won. Odds: Chicago Sky 2.01, Washington Mystics 1.77.
- Aug 28: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Washington Mystics 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: Phoenix Mercury 73, Washington Mystics 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Phoenix Mercury 84, Washington Mystics 94. Won. No odds on record.
Connecticut Sun
0-5 - Sep 20: Connecticut Sun 89, Minnesota Lynx 101. Lost. Odds: Connecticut Sun 7.98, Minnesota Lynx 1.06.
- Sep 17: Atlanta Dream 103, Connecticut Sun 59. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.08, Connecticut Sun 7.21.
- Aug 30: Dallas Wings 97, Connecticut Sun 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Indiana Fever 111, Connecticut Sun 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 26: Connecticut Sun 64, Golden State Valkyries 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Nothing at stake: the standings are already decided for Connecticut Sun.
- 5-game losing streak for Connecticut Sun coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Washington Mystics dropped from 1.11 to 1.03 since they were first published.
- 4-19 away for Connecticut Sun this season.
- Over/under moved up from 158.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| WAS moneyline | 1.11 | moved down 1.03 |
| CON moneyline | 6.30 | moved up 11.00 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| WAS spread | −14.5 | moved down −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 3 |  Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 4 |  New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 6 | Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 7 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Washington Mystics host Connecticut Sun in the WNBA on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.