Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin WAS by 2 Win WAS 54% Actual 194 · WAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Washington Mystics at home, last 23 games · Chicago Sky away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Washington Mystics 4, Chicago Sky 1.
- Average total 168.6 points per meeting
- Over 168.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting WAS by 30 Sep 17, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 17, 2026 WNBA Chicago Sky 80–110 Washington Mystics 190 pts
- Jun 2, 2026 WNBA Washington Mystics 90–72 Chicago Sky 162 pts
- Aug 5, 2025 WNBA Chicago Sky 78–64 Washington Mystics 142 pts
- Jul 29, 2025 WNBA Washington Mystics 103–86 Chicago Sky 189 pts
- Jul 8, 2025 WNBA Washington Mystics 81–79 Chicago Sky 160 pts
Last five games
- Sep 22: Washington Mystics 79, Connecticut Sun 69. Won. Odds: Washington Mystics 1.03, Connecticut Sun 11.00.
- Sep 20: Indiana Fever 77, Washington Mystics 93. Won. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.37, Washington Mystics 3.00.
- Sep 17: Chicago Sky 80, Washington Mystics 110. Won. Odds: Chicago Sky 2.01, Washington Mystics 1.77.
- Aug 28: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Washington Mystics 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: Phoenix Mercury 73, Washington Mystics 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 22: Chicago Sky 97, Toronto Tempo 85. Won. Odds: Chicago Sky 1.42, Toronto Tempo 2.80.
- Sep 19: Atlanta Dream 106, Chicago Sky 81. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.10, Chicago Sky 6.27.
- Sep 17: Chicago Sky 80, Washington Mystics 110. Lost. Odds: Chicago Sky 2.01, Washington Mystics 1.77.
- Aug 29: New York Liberty 85, Chicago Sky 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Connecticut Sun 87, Chicago Sky 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Nothing at stake: the standings are already decided for Chicago Sky.
- 3-game winning streak for Washington Mystics coming into this game.
- 5-18 away for Chicago Sky this season.
- Net rating difference of 11.1 — Washington Mystics +4.6 per 100 possessions, Chicago Sky −6.5.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Washington Mystics.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| WAS moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.13 |
| CHI moneyline | 5.60 | moved up 5.62 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 168.5 |
| WAS spread | −13.5 | −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 | |
| 2 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 | |
| 3 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 | |
| 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 | |
| 5 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 | |
| 6 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 | |
| 7 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Washington Mystics host Chicago Sky in the WNBA on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.