Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream prediction
Washington Mystics
17
18
23
17
Atlanta Dream
24
17
24
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Washington Mystics7589Atlanta Dream9391Washington Mystics7589Atlanta Dream9391Total 180 Margin ATL by 2 Win ATL 53% Actual 168 · ATL won
Washington Mystics
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Atlanta Dream
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream
Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Washington Mystics at home, last 23 games · Atlanta Dream away, last 27
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Washington Mystics 3, Atlanta Dream 2.
- Average total 164.0 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ATL by 15 Sep 27, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 27, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 92–77 Washington Mystics 169 pts
- Aug 7, 2026 WNBA Washington Mystics 79–74 Atlanta Dream 153 pts
- Jul 2, 2026 WNBA Washington Mystics 81–76 Atlanta Dream 157 pts
- Jun 6, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 109–77 Washington Mystics 186 pts
- May 3, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 72–83 Washington Mystics 155 pts
Last five games
Washington Mystics
4-1 - Sep 27: Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 24: Washington Mystics 101, Chicago Sky 93. Won. Odds: Washington Mystics 1.13, Chicago Sky 5.62.
- Sep 22: Washington Mystics 79, Connecticut Sun 69. Won. Odds: Washington Mystics 1.03, Connecticut Sun 11.00.
- Sep 20: Indiana Fever 77, Washington Mystics 93. Won. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.37, Washington Mystics 3.00.
- Sep 17: Chicago Sky 80, Washington Mystics 110. Won. Odds: Chicago Sky 2.01, Washington Mystics 1.77.
Atlanta Dream
5-0 - Sep 27: Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 2.55, Atlanta Dream 1.50.
- Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Sep 19: Atlanta Dream 106, Chicago Sky 81. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.10, Chicago Sky 6.27.
- Sep 17: Atlanta Dream 103, Connecticut Sun 59. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.08, Connecticut Sun 7.21.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Atlanta Dream coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Washington Mystics.
- 4-1 in the last five for Washington Mystics.
- 164.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| WAS moneyline | 2.37 | moved down 2.30 |
| ATL moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.65 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| WAS spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 3 |  Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 4 |  New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 6 |  Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 7 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Washington Mystics host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.