Waregem vs Donza prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 132 Margin WAR by 30 Win WAR 94% Actual 145 · DON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Waregem vs Donza
Last 5 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Waregem 0, Donza 2.
- Average total 135.5 points per meeting
- Over 138.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DON by 7 Jan 17, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 17, 2026 Top Division Women Waregem 63–70 Donza 133 pts
- Sep 20, 2025 Top Division Women Donza 83–55 Waregem 138 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Braine 94, Waregem 64. Lost. Odds: Braine –, Waregem 17.00.
- May 2: Waregem 20, Charleroi 0. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Waregem 72, Spirou Basket 46. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Lummen 54, Waregem 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Charleroi 0, Waregem 20. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Donza 67, Jeugd Gentson 69. Lost. Odds: Donza 1.16, Jeugd Gentson 4.35.
- Apr 19: Mechelen 98, Donza 44. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Donza 59, Mechelen 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Kortrijk 57, Donza 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Donza 63, Kortrijk 60. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Donza coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Donza dropped from 1.23 to 1.13 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 30.1 — Waregem −31.5 per 100 possessions, Donza −1.4.
- 4-1 in the last five for Waregem.
- 9th vs 8th in the Top Division Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| WAR moneyline | 3.75 | moved up 4.45 |
| DON moneyline | 1.23 | moved down 1.13 |
| Total points | 138.5 | 138.5 |
| WAR spread | +8.5 | moved up +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Top Division Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 443 | 366 | +77 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 492 | 384 | +108 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 443 | 292 | +151 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 388 | 321 | +67 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 406 | 409 | −3 | |
| 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 362 | 247 | +115 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 373 | 410 | −37 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 348 | 374 | −26 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 377 | 531 | −154 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 204 | 382 | −178 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 138 | 258 | −120 |
- Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Waregem host Donza in the Top Division Women on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.