Vytis VDU vs Neptunas 2 prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin VYT by 5 Win VYT 64% Actual 172 · VYT won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Vytis VDU vs Neptunas 2
Last 7 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Vytis VDU at home, last 4 games · Neptunas 2 away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vytis VDU 2, Neptunas 2 3.
- Average total 165.8 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NEP by 1 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 NKL Vytis VDU 83–84 Neptunas 2 167 pts
- Apr 15, 2026 NKL Neptunas 2 89–83 Vytis VDU 172 pts
- Apr 12, 2026 NKL Vytis VDU 71–80 Neptunas 2 151 pts
- Feb 5, 2026 NKL Neptunas 2 88–89 Vytis VDU 177 pts
- Nov 27, 2025 NKL Vytis VDU 92–70 Neptunas 2 162 pts
Last five games
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vilkaviskis 78, Vytis VDU 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Vytis VDU 101, Vilkaviskis 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vytis VDU 83, Neptunas 2 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 2 72, Omega-Tauras 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.54, Omega-Tauras 2.35.
- Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Won. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.
- May 9: Suduva-Mantinga 76, Neptunas 2 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Neptunas 2 79, Suduva-Mantinga 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Suduva-Mantinga 67, Neptunas 2 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Vytis VDU coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Neptunas 2 dropped from 1.93 to 1.72 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Vytis VDU, 2 for Neptunas 2.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Neptunas 2.
- 165.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 164.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VYT moneyline | 1.75 | moved up 1.98 |
| NEP moneyline | 1.93 | moved down 1.72 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| VYT spread | −1.5 | moved up −0.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vytis VDU host Neptunas 2 in the NKL on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.