Vytis VDU vs Kauno Atletas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin VYT by 16 Win VYT 85% Actual 182 · VYT won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vytis VDU vs Kauno Atletas
Last 7 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Vytis VDU at home, last 4 games · Kauno Atletas away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 17: Vytis VDU 104, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 92. Won. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.71, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 2.00.
- Oct 15: Alytaus Patriotai 110, Vytis VDU 105. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 2.25, Vytis VDU 1.57.
- Oct 6: Vytis VDU 88, Neptunas 2 84. Won. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.98, Neptunas 2 1.72.
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 17: Kauno Atletas 72, Kretinga 84. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 2.65, Kretinga 1.43.
- Oct 15: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Kauno Atletas 83. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.06, Kauno Atletas 8.00.
- Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
- Oct 8: Kauno Atletas 76, Vilkaviskis 84. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 4.05, Vilkaviskis 1.19.
- Oct 3: Kauno Atletas 78, Jurbarkas 102. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 7.00, Jurbarkas 1.08.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Kauno Atletas coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 25.9 — Vytis VDU +1.5 per 100 possessions, Kauno Atletas −24.4.
- 4-1 in the last five for Vytis VDU.
- 10th vs 18th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VYT moneyline | 1.03 | moved up 1.04 |
| KAU moneyline | 7.50 | moved down 6.20 |
| Total points | 175.5 | 175.5 |
| VYT spread | −16.5 | −16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vytis VDU host Kauno Atletas in the NKL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.