Vitoria vs Portimonense prediction
Vitoria
24
19
15
16
Portimonense
21
13
20
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Vitoria7479Portimonense7285Vitoria7479Portimonense7285Total 164 Margin POR by 6 Win POR 64% Actual 146 · VIT won
Vitoria
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Portimonense
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vitoria vs Portimonense
Vitoria
Portimonense
Last 25 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Vitoria at home, last 12 games · Portimonense away, last 18
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Vitoria
2-3 - Oct 18: Braga 91, Vitoria 72. Lost. Odds: Braga 1.28, Vitoria 2.95.
- Oct 10: Vitoria 71, Ovarense 87. Lost. Odds: Vitoria 1.82, Ovarense 1.65.
- Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vitoria 84, Oliveirense 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vasco Da Gama 96, Vitoria 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Portimonense
1-4 - Oct 17: Portimonense 83, CA Queluz 87. Lost. Odds: Portimonense 2.00, CA Queluz 1.52.
- Oct 11: Braga 105, Portimonense 71. Lost. Odds: Braga 1.18, Portimonense 4.35.
- Oct 3: Portimonense 82, Oliveirense 91. Lost. Odds: Portimonense 5.10, Oliveirense 1.13.
- May 17: CD Povoa 90, Portimonense 86. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: CD Povoa 68, Portimonense 71. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Portimonense coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 170.5 to 168.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.0 — Vitoria −8.8 per 100 possessions, Portimonense −1.8.
- 7th vs 11th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIT moneyline | 1.10 | moved up 1.14 |
| POR moneyline | 4.60 | moved down 4.20 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved down 168.5 |
| VIT spread | −11.5 | moved up −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 | Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 | Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 |  Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vitoria host Portimonense in the LPB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.