Vitoria vs Ovarense prediction
Vitoria
21
17
9
24
Ovarense
17
20
30
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Vitoria7185Ovarense8784Vitoria7185Ovarense8784Total 169 Margin VIT by 1 Win VIT 52% Actual 158 · OVA won
Vitoria
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Ovarense
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vitoria vs Ovarense
Vitoria
Ovarense
Last 25 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Vitoria at home, last 12 games · Ovarense away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vitoria 1, Ovarense 1.
- Average total 168.5 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIT by 16 Mar 21, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 21, 2026 LPB Ovarense 75–91 Vitoria 166 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 LPB Vitoria 77–94 Ovarense 171 pts
Last five games
Vitoria
3-2 - Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vitoria 84, Oliveirense 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vasco Da Gama 96, Vitoria 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Vitoria 93, Esgueira 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Braga 101, Vitoria 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Ovarense
2-3 - Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Won. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
- May 16: Ovarense 65, Oliveirense 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Oliveirense 90, Ovarense 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Ovarense 93, Oliveirense 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Ovarense 67, Braga 74. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Vitoria dropped from 2.45 to 1.82 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Vitoria −8.8 per 100 possessions, Ovarense +4.9.
- 7th vs 1st in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIT moneyline | 2.45 | moved down 1.82 |
| OVA moneyline | 1.45 | moved up 1.65 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| VIT spread | +4.5 | moved down +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 | Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 |  Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 |  Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vitoria host Ovarense in the LPB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.