Vitoria vs CD Povoa prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin POV by 8 Win POV 69% Actual 143 · POV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vitoria vs CD Povoa
Last 25 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Vitoria at home, last 12 games · CD Povoa away, last 17
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 24: Vitoria 74, Portimonense 72. Won. Odds: Vitoria 1.14, Portimonense 4.20.
- Oct 18: Braga 91, Vitoria 72. Lost. Odds: Braga 1.28, Vitoria 2.95.
- Oct 10: Vitoria 71, Ovarense 87. Lost. Odds: Vitoria 1.82, Ovarense 1.65.
- Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vitoria 84, Oliveirense 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 25: CD Povoa 71, Braga 80. Lost. Odds: CD Povoa 1.55, Braga 2.10.
- Oct 17: Ovarense 78, CD Povoa 69. Lost. Odds: Ovarense 1.32, CD Povoa 2.47.
- Oct 10: CD Povoa 73, CAB Madeira 69. Won. Odds: CD Povoa 1.38, CAB Madeira 2.81.
- Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Won. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
- May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 164.5 to 159.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.8 — Vitoria −8.8 per 100 possessions, CD Povoa +9.0.
- 7th vs 8th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIT moneyline | 2.08 | moved down 2.05 |
| POV moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.65 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved down 159.5 |
| VIT spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vitoria host CD Povoa in the LPB on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.