Virtus Zagreb vs Zadar prediction
Virtus Zagreb
10
12
18
16
Zadar
27
21
21
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Virtus Zagreb5679Zadar8781Virtus Zagreb5679Zadar8781Total 160 Margin ZAD by 2 Win ZAD 57% Actual 143 · ZAD won
Virtus Zagreb
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zadar
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Virtus Zagreb vs Zadar
Virtus Zagreb
Zadar
Last 8 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Virtus Zagreb at home, last 4 games · Zadar away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Virtus Zagreb 0, Zadar 3.
- Average total 146.0 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAD by 14 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 Premijer liga Cedevita Junior 67–81 Zadar 148 pts
- Feb 15, 2026 Premijer liga Zadar 84–58 Cedevita Junior 142 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 Premijer liga Cedevita Junior 63–85 Zadar 148 pts
Last five games
Virtus Zagreb
3-2 - Oct 2: Cedevita Junior 89, Dubrava 84. Won. Odds: Cedevita Junior 1.26, Dubrava 3.40.
- Sep 27: Kvarner 93, Cedevita Junior 96. Won. Odds: Kvarner 1.72, Cedevita Junior 2.02.
- May 9: Split 87, Cedevita Junior 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Cedevita Junior 74, Cibona 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Zabok 65, Cedevita Junior 76. Won. No odds on record.
Zadar
3-2 - Oct 11: Mega Basket 88, Zadar 82. Lost. Odds: Mega Basket 1.80, Zadar 1.94.
- Oct 5: Zadar 79, Studentski Centar 65. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.41, Studentski Centar 2.81.
- Oct 2: Skrljevo 69, Zadar 107. Won. Odds: Skrljevo 4.75, Zadar 1.14.
- Sep 27: Zadar 81, Samobor 59. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.05, Samobor 7.50.
- Jun 10: Zadar 75, Cibona 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Zadar, who played yesterday.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Zadar.
- Over/under moved up from 159.5 to 162.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 36.5 — Virtus Zagreb −12.2 per 100 possessions, Zadar +24.3.
- 146.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIR moneyline | 3.40 | moved up 4.30 |
| ZAD moneyline | 1.15 | moved up 1.18 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| VIR spread | +9.5 | +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 |
| 2 |  Cibona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 |
| 3 |  Kvarner |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 |
| 4 |  Split |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 |
| 6 |  Skrljevo |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 |
| 7 | Virtus Zagreb |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 |
| 8 |  Zabok |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 |
| 9 |  Dubrovnik |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 |
| 10 |  Alkar |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 |
| 11 |  Samobor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 |
| 12 |  Dubrava |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Virtus Zagreb host Zadar in the Premijer liga on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.