Virtus Zagreb vs Samobor prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin VIR by 2 Win VIR 56% Actual 186 · SAM won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Virtus Zagreb vs Samobor
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Virtus Zagreb at home, last 4 games · Samobor away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Virtus Zagreb 1, Samobor 2.
- Average total 177.0 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIR by 13 Apr 19, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 19, 2026 Premijer liga Cedevita Junior 88–75 Samobor 163 pts
- Feb 22, 2026 Premijer liga Samobor 96–93 Cedevita Junior 189 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 Premijer liga Cedevita Junior 89–90 Samobor 179 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Basket Zivinice 63, Virtus Zagreb 60. Lost. Odds: Basket Zivinice 1.46, Virtus Zagreb 2.52.
- Oct 25: Cibona 98, Virtus Zagreb 67. Lost. Odds: Cibona 1.06, Virtus Zagreb 5.90.
- Oct 18: Virtus Zagreb 83, Alkar 78. Won. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 1.44, Alkar 2.35.
- Oct 14: Primorje 91, Virtus Zagreb 81. Lost. Odds: Primorje 2.07, Virtus Zagreb 1.65.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Lost. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
- Oct 23: Samobor 78, Skrljevo 89. Lost. Odds: Samobor 1.55, Skrljevo 2.15.
- Oct 17: Zabok 79, Samobor 72. Lost. Odds: Zabok 1.47, Samobor 2.07.
- Oct 9: Samobor 64, Cibona 73. Lost. Odds: Samobor 5.40, Cibona 1.08.
- Oct 4: Samobor 91, Alkar 95. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Samobor 1.42, Alkar 2.67.
- Sep 30: BC Prievidza 98, Samobor 65. Lost. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.18, Samobor 4.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 9-game losing streak for Samobor coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Samobor dropped from 2.67 to 2.05 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Samobor, 2 for Virtus Zagreb.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Samobor.
- 1-4 in the last five for Virtus Zagreb.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIR moneyline | 1.38 | moved up 1.65 |
| SAM moneyline | 2.67 | moved down 2.05 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| VIR spread | −5.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 | |
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Virtus Zagreb host Samobor in the Premijer liga on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.