Virtus Zagreb vs Alkar prediction
Virtus Zagreb
20
28
17
18
Alkar
21
26
16
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Virtus Zagreb8384Alkar7881Virtus Zagreb8384Alkar7881Total 165 Margin VIR by 3 Win VIR 59% Actual 161 · VIR won
Virtus Zagreb
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Alkar
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Virtus Zagreb vs Alkar
Virtus Zagreb
Alkar
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Virtus Zagreb at home, last 4 games · Alkar away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Virtus Zagreb 2, Alkar 1.
- Average total 152.7 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIR by 18 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 Premijer liga Cedevita Junior 80–62 Alkar 142 pts
- Jan 17, 2026 Premijer liga Alkar 61–82 Cedevita Junior 143 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 Premijer liga Cedevita Junior 85–88 OT Alkar 173 pts · OT
Last five games
Virtus Zagreb
2-3 - Oct 14: Primorje 91, Virtus Zagreb 81. Lost. Odds: Primorje 2.07, Virtus Zagreb 1.65.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Lost. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
- Oct 2: Cedevita Junior 89, Dubrava 84. Won. Odds: Cedevita Junior 1.26, Dubrava 3.40.
- Sep 27: Kvarner 93, Cedevita Junior 96. Won. Odds: Kvarner 1.72, Cedevita Junior 2.02.
- May 9: Split 87, Cedevita Junior 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Alkar
2-3 - Oct 14: Spartak Pleven 93, Alkar 82. Lost. Odds: Spartak Pleven 1.53, Alkar 2.38.
- Oct 10: Alkar 73, Skrljevo 88. Lost. Odds: Alkar 1.26, Skrljevo 2.75.
- Oct 4: Samobor 91, Alkar 95. After overtime. Won. Odds: Samobor 1.42, Alkar 2.67.
- Sep 30: Zrinjski Mostar 87, Alkar 92. After overtime. Won. Odds: Zrinjski Mostar 1.78, Alkar 1.90.
- Sep 27: Alkar 78, Cibona 84. Lost. Odds: Alkar 5.60, Cibona 1.11.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alkar dropped from 3.30 to 2.35 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 158.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.6 — Virtus Zagreb −12.2 per 100 possessions, Alkar −3.6.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Virtus Zagreb.
- 152.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIR moneyline | 1.27 | moved up 1.44 |
| ALK moneyline | 3.30 | moved down 2.35 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| VIR spread | −7.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zadar |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 |
| 2 |  Cibona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 |
| 3 |  Kvarner |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 |
| 4 |  Split |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 |
| 6 |  Skrljevo |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 |
| 7 | Virtus Zagreb |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 |
| 8 |  Zabok |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 |
| 9 |  Dubrovnik |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 |
| 10 | Alkar |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 |
| 11 |  Samobor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 |
| 12 |  Dubrava |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Virtus Zagreb host Alkar in the Premijer liga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.