Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas prediction
Virtus Bologna
22
13
18
21
Zalgiris Kaunas
14
23
28
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Virtus Bologna7488Zalgiris Kaunas9185Virtus Bologna7488Zalgiris Kaunas9185Total 173 Margin VIR by 3 Win VIR 57% Actual 165 · ZAL won
Virtus Bologna
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zalgiris Kaunas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas
Virtus Bologna
Zalgiris Kaunas
Last 15 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Virtus Bologna at home, last 6 games · Zalgiris Kaunas away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Virtus Bologna 1, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.
- Average total 156.5 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIR by 4 Jan 6, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 6, 2026 EuroLeague Virtus Bologna 83–79 Zalgiris Kaunas 162 pts
- Oct 28, 2025 EuroLeague Zalgiris Kaunas 86–65 Virtus Bologna 151 pts
Last five games
Virtus Bologna
4-1 - Oct 25: Olimpia Milano 94, Virtus Bologna 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.60, Virtus Bologna 2.12.
- Oct 21: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90, Virtus Bologna 81. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.27, Virtus Bologna 3.30.
- Oct 18: Virtus Bologna 108, Scafati 83. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.08, Scafati 6.20.
- Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
- Oct 14: Paris 94, Virtus Bologna 96. Won. Odds: Paris 1.65, Virtus Bologna 2.07.
Zalgiris Kaunas
3-2 - Oct 25: Zalgiris Kaunas 86, Jonava 63. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.01, Jonava 8.00.
- Oct 23: Zalgiris Kaunas 105, Lyon-Villeurbanne 85. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.20, Lyon-Villeurbanne 4.00.
- Oct 18: Zalgiris Kaunas 96, Taurage 76. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.01, Taurage 8.00.
- Oct 16: Zalgiris Kaunas 70, Anadolu Efes 85. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.35, Anadolu Efes 3.16.
- Oct 13: Fenerbahce 99, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.33, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.30.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Zalgiris Kaunas coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Virtus Bologna dropped from 2.18 to 1.72 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 171.5 to 175.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.6 — Virtus Bologna +2.8 per 100 possessions, Zalgiris Kaunas +13.4.
- 4-1 in the last five for Virtus Bologna.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIR moneyline | 2.18 | moved down 1.72 |
| ZAL moneyline | 1.47 | moved up 1.96 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 175.5 |
| VIR spread | +4.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 |
| 2 |  Olympiacos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 |
| 3 |  Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 |
| 5 |  Valencia |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 |
| 7 |  Fenerbahce |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 |
| 8 |  Barcelona |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 |
| 9 |  Dubai |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 |
| 10 | Zalgiris Kaunas |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 |
| 11 |  Besiktas |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 |
| 12 |  Partizan Mozzart Bet |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 |
| 13 | Virtus Bologna |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 |
| 14 |  Anadolu Efes |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 |
| 15 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 |
| 16 |  Paris |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 |
| 17 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 |
| 18 |  Bayern |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 |
| 19 |  Olimpia Milano |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 |
| 20 |  Baskonia |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Virtus Bologna host Zalgiris Kaunas in the EuroLeague on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.