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Virtus Bologna vs Maxima Roma prediction

Lega A Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start12:15ET Round 2
Virtus BolognaHome · 5-0 · 1st · Moneyline odds up 1.26
981st quarter 252nd quarter 123rd quarter 284th quarter 33
Maxima RomaAway · 4-2 · 4th · Moneyline odds down 3.62
891st quarter 162nd quarter 263rd quarter 264th quarter 21
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Virtus Bologna 25 12 28 33
Maxima Roma 16 26 26 21
FT Segafredo Arena · ItalySegafredo Arena · Round 2
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
1 odds up 1.26 60% confidence
Virtus Bologna to win edge −14.0%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 odds up 1.26 Virtus Bologna to win Confidence60% model 62.6% · market 76.6% edge −14.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.26 62.6% 76.6% −14.0% 60% Won
Total points O154.5 1.30 66.6% 71.8% −5.2% 60% Won
Point spread VIR -8.5 odds up 1.88 44.4% 50.9% −6.5% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Virtus Bologna9888
Maxima Roma8979
Total 167 actual 187
Winning margin VIR by 9 actual VIR by 9
Chance to win VIR 78% VIR won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Virtus Bologna9888
Maxima Roma8979

Total 167 Margin VIR by 9 Win VIR 78% Actual 187 · VIR won

Virtus Bologna host Maxima Roma in the Lega A on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.