Virtus Bologna vs Baskonia Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start14:30ET Round 6

Virtus BolognaHome · 4-5 · 13th · 1.48

8624222218

BaskoniaAway · 1-8 · 20th · 2.45

7812221925

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Virtus Bologna 24 22 22 18

Baskonia 12 22 19 25

FT Segafredo ArenaSegafredo Arena · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

VIR +6.5 1.22 85%

Virtus Bologna +6.5 on the spread edge +12.6%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won VIR +6.5 1.22 Virtus Bologna +6.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 85.2% · market 72.6% edge +12.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.48 70.9% 59.4% +11.5% 85% Won

Total points O164.5 1.18 78.0% 72.0% +6.0% 85% Lost

Point spread VIR +6.5 1.22 85.2% 72.6% +12.6% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Virtus Bologna8693

Baskonia7886

Total 179 actual 164

Winning margin VIR by 7 actual VIR by 8

Chance to win VIR 71% VIR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Virtus Bologna8693

Baskonia7886

Total 179 Margin VIR by 7 Win VIR 71% Actual 164 · VIR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 9+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Virtus Bologna large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Baskonia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Virtus Bologna vs Baskonia

Virtus Bologna Baskonia

Last 15 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Virtus Bologna 5-0

Oct 14: Paris 94, Virtus Bologna 96. Won. Odds: Paris 1.65, Virtus Bologna 2.07.
Oct 11: Venezia 86, Virtus Bologna 93. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.75, Virtus Bologna 1.90.
Oct 8: Bayern 87, Virtus Bologna 94. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.41, Virtus Bologna 2.92.
Oct 4: Virtus Bologna 98, Maxima Roma 89. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.26, Maxima Roma 3.62.
Oct 1: Virtus Bologna 96, Olympiacos 94. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 4.50, Olympiacos 1.20.

Baskonia 3-2

Oct 13: Baskonia 79, Dubai 93. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 2.22, Dubai 1.66.
Oct 11: Baskonia 93, Joventut Badalona 73. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.50, Joventut Badalona 2.53.
Oct 9: Baskonia 84, Besiktas 92. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.72, Besiktas 2.12.
Oct 4: Baskonia 118, Basquet Girona 78. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.20, Basquet Girona 4.31.
Oct 2: Baskonia 87, Olimpia Milano 76. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.95, Olimpia Milano 1.87.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VIR moneyline	1.61	moved down 1.48
BAS moneyline	2.37	moved up 2.45
Total points	173.5	moved up 178.5
VIR spread	−3.5	moved down −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Virtus Bologna host Baskonia in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.