Vilkaviskis vs Kretinga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 175 Margin VIL by 7 Win VIL 65% Actual 149 · VIL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Vilkaviskis vs Kretinga
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Vilkaviskis at home, last 4 games · Kretinga away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vilkaviskis 0, Kretinga 2.
- Average total 168.5 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KRE by 6 Jan 24, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 24, 2026 NKL Kretinga 83–77 Vilkaviskis 160 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 NKL Vilkaviskis 83–94 Kretinga 177 pts
Last five games
- Oct 1: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Vilkaviskis 104. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.91, Vilkaviskis 1.70.
- Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vilkaviskis 78, Vytis VDU 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Vytis VDU 101, Vilkaviskis 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Suduva-Mantinga 77, Vilkaviskis 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.
- Apr 10: Vytis VDU 90, Kretinga 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Kretinga 69, Vytis VDU 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Vytis VDU 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 31: Kretinga 78, Vytis VDU 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Vilkaviskis coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Kretinga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Vilkaviskis dropped from 1.44 to 1.33 since they were first published.
- −7.8 points away — Kretinga averaged 83.6 at home and 75.8 away this season.
- 13th vs 15th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VIL moneyline | 1.44 | moved down 1.33 |
| KRE moneyline | 2.52 | moved up 2.95 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| VIL spread | −6.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vilkaviskis host Kretinga in the NKL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.