Vienna Basket vs Zadar Prediction & Odds

ABA League Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start14:30ET Round 4

Vienna BasketHome · 1-4 · 8th · 1.49

7822182117

ZadarAway · 2-2 · 5th · 2.65

6321131415

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Vienna Basket 22 18 21 17

Zadar 21 13 14 15

FT Hallmann DomeHallmann Dome · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O156.5 1.40 65%

Over 156.5 points edge −0.1%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O156.5 1.40 Over 156.5 points Confidence65% model 64.6% · market 64.7% edge −0.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.65 75.1% 48.0% +27.1% 58% Lost

Total points O156.5 1.40 64.6% 64.7% −0.1% 65% Lost

Point spread ZAD +3.5 1.98 83.4% 56.7% +26.7% 58% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Vienna Basket7872

Zadar6392

Total 164 actual 141

Winning margin ZAD by 20 actual VIE by 15

Chance to win ZAD 90% VIE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Vienna Basket7872

Zadar6392

Total 164 Margin ZAD by 20 Win ZAD 90% Actual 141 · VIE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Vienna Basket large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Zadar

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Vienna Basket vs Zadar

Vienna Basket Zadar

Last 16 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Vienna Basket 1-4

Oct 13: Vienna Basket 96, Szczecin 93. Won. Odds: Vienna Basket 1.53, Szczecin 1.98.
Oct 11: Partizan Mozzart Bet 99, Vienna Basket 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Oct 11: Kufstein 102, Vienna Basket 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Oct 6: Nancy 66, Vienna Basket 65. Lost. Odds: Nancy 1.22, Vienna Basket 3.70.
Oct 4: Vienna Basket 62, St. Polten 78. Lost. No odds on record.

Zadar 4-1

Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Won. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
Oct 11: Mega Basket 88, Zadar 82. Lost. Odds: Mega Basket 1.80, Zadar 1.94.
Oct 5: Zadar 79, Studentski Centar 65. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.41, Studentski Centar 2.81.
Oct 2: Skrljevo 69, Zadar 107. Won. Odds: Skrljevo 4.75, Zadar 1.14.
Sep 27: Zadar 81, Samobor 59. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.05, Samobor 7.50.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VIE moneyline	2.28	moved down 1.49
ZAD moneyline	1.59	moved up 2.65
Total points	168.5	moved down 164.5
VIE spread	−1.5	moved down −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ABA League standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Partizan Mozzart Bet	4	4	0	8	353	301	+52
2	Dubai	4	4	0	8	378	328	+50
3	KK Bosna	5	3	2	8	450	433	+17
4	Perspektiva Ilirija	5	2	3	7	396	406	−10
5	Zadar	4	2	2	6	319	301	+18
6	Cluj-Napoca	4	2	2	6	355	343	+12
7	Spartak Subotica	4	2	2	6	330	328	+2
8	Vienna Basket	5	1	4	6	409	439	−30
9	Mega Basket	4	2	2	6	303	349	−46
10	Studentski Centar	5	0	5	5	406	471	−65

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Vienna Basket host Zadar in the ABA League on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.