Venezia vs Virtus Bologna prediction
Venezia
29
22
21
14
Virtus Bologna
20
25
24
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Venezia8692Virtus Bologna9384Venezia8692Virtus Bologna9384Total 176 Margin VEN by 8 Win VEN 71% Actual 179 · VIR won
Venezia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Virtus Bologna
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Venezia vs Virtus Bologna
Venezia
Virtus Bologna
Last 12 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Venezia at home, last 6 games · Virtus Bologna away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Venezia 4, Virtus Bologna 1.
- Average total 173.2 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VEN by 7 Jun 6, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 6, 2026 Lega A Venezia 90–83 Virtus Bologna 173 pts
- Jun 4, 2026 Lega A Venezia 89–85 Virtus Bologna 174 pts
- Jun 1, 2026 Lega A Virtus Bologna 98–79 Venezia 177 pts
- May 30, 2026 Lega A Virtus Bologna 83–91 Venezia 174 pts
- Apr 5, 2026 Lega A Virtus Bologna 82–86 Venezia 168 pts
Last five games
Venezia
3-2 - Oct 7: Cluj-Napoca 98, Venezia 92. Lost. Odds: Cluj-Napoca 1.95, Venezia 1.78.
- Oct 4: Trieste 82, Venezia 87. Won. Odds: Trieste 2.77, Venezia 1.42.
- Sep 29: Venezia 104, Frankfurt 72. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.16, Frankfurt 5.08.
- Sep 26: Venezia 85, Cantu 73. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.20, Cantu 4.32.
- Sep 20: Venezia 87, Olimpia Milano 94. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Venezia 3.50, Olimpia Milano 1.25.
Virtus Bologna
4-1 - Oct 8: Bayern 87, Virtus Bologna 94. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.41, Virtus Bologna 2.92.
- Oct 4: Virtus Bologna 98, Maxima Roma 89. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.26, Maxima Roma 3.62.
- Oct 1: Virtus Bologna 96, Olympiacos 94. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 4.50, Olympiacos 1.20.
- Sep 29: Olimpia Milano 87, Virtus Bologna 85. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.37, Virtus Bologna 3.08.
- Sep 27: Varese 69, Virtus Bologna 90. Won. Odds: Varese 2.25, Virtus Bologna 1.60.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Virtus Bologna coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Virtus Bologna dropped from 2.10 to 1.90 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 170.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Venezia.
- 173.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 174.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VEN moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 1.75 |
| VIR moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 1.90 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| VEN spread | +1.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 |
| 3 |  Treviso |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 |
| 4 |  Maxima Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 |
| 5 |  Varese |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 |
| 6 |  Olimpia Milano |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 |
| 7 |  Trento |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 |
| 8 |  Verona |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 |
| 9 | Venezia |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 |
| 10 |  Udine |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 |
| 11 |  Trieste |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 |
| 12 |  BC Roma |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 |
| 13 |  Reggiana |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 |
| 14 |  Tortona |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 |
| 15 |  Scafati |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 |
| 16 |  Cantu |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Venezia host Virtus Bologna in the Lega A on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.