Vejen vs Vaerlose prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin VAE by 8 Win VAE 65% Actual 172 · VEJ won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Vejen vs Vaerlose
Last 8 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Vejen at home, last 5 games · Vaerlose away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vejen 2, Vaerlose 2.
- Average total 153.3 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VEJ by 3 Apr 8, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 8, 2026 Basketligaen Vejen 86–83 Vaerlose 169 pts
- Mar 7, 2026 Basketligaen Vaerlose 79–92 Vejen 171 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 Basketligaen Vejen 58–59 Vaerlose 117 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 Basketligaen Vaerlose 80–76 Vejen 156 pts
Last five games
- Oct 2: Svendborg 102, Vejen 74. Lost. Odds: Svendborg 1.08, Vejen 5.96.
- Sep 26: BMS Herlev 95, Vejen 106. Won. Odds: BMS Herlev 2.60, Vejen 1.37.
- Sep 24: Vejen 60, Bears Academy 92. Lost. Odds: Vejen 1.37, Bears Academy 2.80.
- Apr 21: Bears Academy 91, Vejen 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Vejen 83, Holbaek-Stenhus 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 2: Horsens 50, Vaerlose 41. Lost. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Vaerlose 8.57.
- Sep 27: Vaerlose 85, Randers 89. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 5.89, Randers 1.08.
- Sep 22: Copenhagen 88, Vaerlose 74. Lost. Odds: Copenhagen 1.12, Vaerlose 5.00.
- Sep 19: Gladsaxe 78, Vaerlose 88. Won. Odds: Gladsaxe 2.32, Vaerlose 1.48.
- Apr 28: Vaerlose 70, Bears Academy 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Vaerlose coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Vaerlose dropped from 3.05 to 2.05 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Vejen this season.
- Over/under moved down from 169.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.0 — Vejen −18.5 per 100 possessions, Vaerlose −10.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VEJ moneyline | 1.33 | moved up 1.64 |
| VAE moneyline | 3.05 | moved down 2.05 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved down 167.5 |
| VEJ spread | −6.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vejen host Vaerlose in the Basketligaen on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.