Vejen vs Team FOG Naestved prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin TFN by 26 Win TFN 90% Actual 189 · TFN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vejen vs Team FOG Naestved
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Vejen at home, last 5 games · Team FOG Naestved away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vejen 0, Team FOG Naestved 2.
- Average total 187.5 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TFN by 22 Jan 4, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 4, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 103–81 Vejen 184 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 Basketligaen Vejen 73–118 Team FOG Naestved 191 pts
Last five games
- Oct 16: Vejen 72, Gladsaxe 89. Lost. Odds: Vejen 1.24, Gladsaxe 3.30.
- Oct 8: Vejen 92, Vaerlose 80. Won. Odds: Vejen 1.64, Vaerlose 2.05.
- Oct 2: Svendborg 102, Vejen 74. Lost. Odds: Svendborg 1.08, Vejen 5.96.
- Sep 26: BMS Herlev 95, Vejen 106. Won. Odds: BMS Herlev 2.60, Vejen 1.37.
- Sep 24: Vejen 60, Bears Academy 92. Lost. Odds: Vejen 1.37, Bears Academy 2.80.
- Oct 15: Team FOG Naestved 86, Svendborg 83. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved 1.09, Svendborg 5.53.
- Oct 10: BMS Herlev 55, Team FOG Naestved 117. Won. Odds: BMS Herlev 15.10, Team FOG Naestved –.
- Sep 30: Team FOG Naestved 90, Copenhagen 64. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved 1.06, Copenhagen 6.38.
- Sep 27: Horsens 73, Team FOG Naestved 101. Won. Odds: Horsens 2.35, Team FOG Naestved 1.46.
- Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Team FOG Naestved coming into this game.
- 1-4 at home for Vejen this season.
- Over/under moved down from 180.5 to 176.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 56.4 — Vejen −18.5 per 100 possessions, Team FOG Naestved +37.9.
- 10th vs 1st in the Basketligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VEJ moneyline | 9.20 | moved up 9.80 |
| TFN moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved down 176.5 |
| VEJ spread | +30.5 | moved up +31.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vejen host Team FOG Naestved in the Basketligaen on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.