VEF Riga vs Lok. Plovdiv Prediction & Odds

FIBA Europe Cup Wednesday, October 7, 2026Wed, Oct 7 Start12:00ET Round 1

VEF RigaHome · 2-2 · 3rd · 1.07

10627262825

Lok. PlovdivAway · 2-2 · 4th · 6.50

8327141725

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

VEF Riga 27 26 28 25

Lok. Plovdiv 27 14 17 25

FT Xiaomi ArenaXiaomi Arena · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.07 51%

VEF Riga to win edge −34.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.07 VEF Riga to win Confidence51% model 45.4% · market 80.2% edge −34.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.07 45.4% 80.2% −34.8% 51% Won

Total points O160.5 1.50 67.0% 61.3% +5.7% 67% Won

Point spread LOK +13.5 1.87 57.7% 48.8% +8.9% 58% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

VEF Riga10689

Lok. Plovdiv8387

Total 176 actual 189

Winning margin RIG by 2 actual RIG by 23

Chance to win RIG 55% RIG won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

VEF Riga10689

Lok. Plovdiv8387

Total 176 Margin RIG by 2 Win RIG 55% Actual 189 · RIG won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

VEF Riga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Lok. Plovdiv

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

VEF Riga vs Lok. Plovdiv

VEF Riga Lok. Plovdiv

Last 14 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

VEF Riga 4-1

Oct 3: VEF Riga 82, BK Liepaja 55. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.04, BK Liepaja 9.56.
Sep 29: VEF Riga 90, Keila KK 60. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Keila KK 21.00.
Sep 26: BK Ogre 73, VEF Riga 92. Won. Odds: BK Ogre 3.97, VEF Riga 1.22.
Sep 23: VEF Riga 104, Latvijas Universitate 66. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Latvijas Universitate 17.00.
Sep 17: VEF Riga 95, Dziki Warszawa 102. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 2.14, Dziki Warszawa 1.68.

Lok. Plovdiv 2-3

Jun 5: Balkan 81, Lok. Plovdiv 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 1: Lok. Plovdiv 84, Balkan 78. Won. No odds on record.
May 30: Lok. Plovdiv 82, Balkan 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 27: Balkan 94, Lok. Plovdiv 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
May 25: Balkan 88, Lok. Plovdiv 73. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
RIG moneyline	1.17	moved down 1.07
LOK moneyline	4.73	moved up 6.50
Total points	165.5	165.5
RIG spread	−13.5	moved down −15.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

FIBA Europe Cup standings

Regular Season · Group H

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Mykonos	4	4	0	8	335	295	+40
2	CSM Oradea	4	3	1	7	353	313	+40
3	VEF Riga	4	2	2	6	388	360	+28
4	Lok. Plovdiv	4	2	2	6	341	344	−3
5	Fribourg Olympic	4	1	3	5	293	341	−48
6	Neftchi IK	4	0	4	4	308	365	−57

Second stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

VEF Riga host Lok. Plovdiv in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

VEF Riga vs Lok. Plovdiv prediction