Vasco Da Gama vs Sampaense prediction
Vasco Da Gama
24
23
22
21
Sampaense
20
19
21
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Vasco Da Gama9082Sampaense8283Vasco Da Gama9082Sampaense8283Total 165 Margin SAM by 1 Win SAM 52% Actual 172 · VDG won
Vasco Da Gama
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Sampaense
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vasco Da Gama vs Sampaense
Vasco Da Gama
Sampaense
Last 26 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Vasco Da Gama at home, last 13 games · Sampaense away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Vasco Da Gama
1-4 - Apr 25: Benfica 103, Vasco Da Gama 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vasco Da Gama 96, Vitoria 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Imortal 95, Vasco Da Gama 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Vasco Da Gama 81, Sporting CP 112. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Oliveirense 109, Vasco Da Gama 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Sampaense
3-2 - May 2: Sampaense 85, Academica 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Galomar 88, Sampaense 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Sampaense 87, Santo Andre 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Sangalhos 72, Sampaense 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Lusitania 87, Sampaense 60. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 155.5 to 157.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.2 — Vasco Da Gama −14.6 per 100 possessions, Sampaense −6.4.
- 1-4 in the last five for Vasco Da Gama.
- 9th vs 4th in the Proliga standings.
- Different pace — Vasco Da Gama averaged 84.3 possessions per game, Sampaense 72.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VDG moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.08 |
| SAM moneyline | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| VDG spread | −13.5 | −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Proliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sangalhos |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 393 | 307 | +86 |
| 2 |  Galitos Aveiro |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 377 | 352 | +25 |
| 3 |  Santo Andre |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 395 | 371 | +24 |
| 4 | Sampaense |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 438 | 408 | +30 |
| 5 |  Lusitania |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 395 | 366 | +29 |
| 6 |  CB Queluz |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 355 | 355 | 0 |
| 7 |  Galitos Barreiro |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 360 | 361 | −1 |
| 8 |  Galomar |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 330 | 288 | +42 |
| 9 | Vasco Da Gama |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 414 | 430 | −16 |
| 10 |  Illiabum |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 350 | 373 | −23 |
| 11 |  Barreirense |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 419 | −26 |
| 12 |  Maia |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 340 | −9 |
| 13 |  Ginasio Olhanense |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 456 | −54 |
| 14 |  Academica |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 396 | 430 | −34 |
| 15 |  Barcelos |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 268 | 303 | −35 |
| 16 |  Benfica Lisboa B |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 260 | 298 | −38 |
- LPB
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vasco Da Gama host Sampaense in the Proliga on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.