Varese vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Odds

Lega A Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start13:00ET Round 1

VareseHome · 4-2 · 5th · 2.25

6921181911

Virtus BolognaAway · 5-0 · 1st · 1.60

9026212122

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Varese 21 18 19 11

Virtus Bologna 26 21 21 22

FT Palasport Lino Oldrini · ItalyPalasport Lino Oldrini · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.55 74%

Virtus Bologna to win edge +16.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.55 Virtus Bologna to win Confidence74% model 70.2% · market 54.1% edge +16.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.55 70.2% 54.1% +16.1% 74% Won

Total points O170.5 1.75 53.4% 50.0% +3.4% 53% Lost

Point spread VIR -1.5 1.60 65.7% 48.2% +17.5% 66% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Varese6982

Virtus Bologna9090

Total 172 actual 159

Winning margin VIR by 8 actual VIR by 21

Chance to win VIR 73% VIR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Varese6982

Virtus Bologna9090

Total 172 Margin VIR by 8 Win VIR 73% Actual 159 · VIR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Varese large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Virtus Bologna

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Varese vs Virtus Bologna

Varese Virtus Bologna

Last 8 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Varese 2-3

May 10: Virtus Bologna 104, Varese 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Varese 84, Cremona 75. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Cantu 100, Varese 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Varese 91, Sassari 90. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Trieste 90, Varese 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Virtus Bologna 1-4

Sep 25: Fenerbahce 78, Virtus Bologna 68. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.15, Virtus Bologna 5.30.
Sep 19: Olimpia Milano 80, Virtus Bologna 71. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.52, Virtus Bologna 2.40.
Jun 6: Venezia 90, Virtus Bologna 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 4: Venezia 89, Virtus Bologna 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 1: Virtus Bologna 98, Venezia 79. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VAR moneyline	1.82	moved up 2.25
VIR moneyline	1.90	moved down 1.60
Total points	170.5	moved up 171.5
VAR spread · regulation	+1.5	moved up +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Lega A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Virtus Bologna	5	5	0	1.000	487	421	+66
2	Basket Napoli	6	5	1	.833	565	517	+48
3	Treviso	6	5	1	.833	559	533	+26
4	Maxima Roma	6	4	2	.667	518	499	+19
5	Varese	6	4	2	.667	533	529	+4
6	Olimpia Milano	5	3	2	.600	453	411	+42
7	Trento	6	3	3	.500	477	497	−20
8	Verona	6	3	3	.500	538	543	−5
9	Venezia	6	3	3	.500	532	542	−10
10	Udine	6	3	3	.500	485	481	+4
11	Trieste	5	2	3	.400	445	426	+19
12	BC Roma	6	2	4	.333	601	579	+22
13	Reggiana	6	2	4	.333	494	503	−9
14	Tortona	6	1	5	.167	499	561	−62
15	Scafati	6	1	5	.167	482	553	−71
16	Cantu	5	0	5	.000	369	442	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Varese host Virtus Bologna in the Lega A on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.