Varese vs BC Roma prediction
Varese
32
17
17
29
15
BC Roma
28
17
22
28
8
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Varese11088BC Roma10388Varese11088BC Roma10388Total 176 Win ROM 51% Actual 213 · VAR won
Varese
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction BC Roma
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Varese vs BC Roma
Varese
BC Roma
Last 8 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Varese at home, last 4 games · BC Roma away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Varese
2-3 - Oct 18: Trento 87, Varese 85. Lost. Odds: Trento 1.47, Varese 2.45.
- Oct 13: Varese 82, Peristeri 85. Lost. Odds: Varese 1.39, Peristeri 2.62.
- Oct 10: Varese 85, Trieste 84. Won. Odds: Varese 1.32, Trieste 3.04.
- Oct 7: Murcia 85, Varese 58. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.12, Varese 5.75.
- Oct 4: Scafati 77, Varese 85. Won. Odds: Scafati 1.94, Varese 1.83.
BC Roma
2-3 - Oct 20: Manresa 108, BC Roma 88. Lost. Odds: Manresa 1.45, BC Roma 2.60.
- Oct 17: BC Roma 98, Venezia 104. Lost. Odds: BC Roma 1.65, Venezia 2.08.
- Oct 13: BC Roma 77, Balkan 72. Won. Odds: BC Roma –, Balkan 20.20.
- Oct 11: Maxima Roma 96, BC Roma 95. Lost. Odds: Maxima Roma 1.44, BC Roma 2.71.
- Oct 7: BC Roma 92, Lietkabelis 87. Won. Odds: BC Roma 1.15, Lietkabelis 5.00.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on BC Roma dropped from 2.02 to 1.75 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Varese, 3 for BC Roma.
- Over/under moved up from 174.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- 5th vs 12th in the Lega A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAR moneyline | 1.67 | moved up 1.94 |
| ROM moneyline | 2.02 | moved down 1.75 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| VAR spread | −2.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Bologna |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 |
| 3 |  Treviso |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 |
| 4 |  Maxima Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 |
| 5 | Varese |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 |
| 6 |  Olimpia Milano |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 |
| 7 |  Trento |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 |
| 8 |  Verona |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 |
| 9 |  Venezia |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 |
| 10 |  Udine |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 |
| 11 |  Trieste |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 |
| 12 | BC Roma |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 |
| 13 |  Reggiana |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 |
| 14 |  Tortona |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 |
| 15 |  Scafati |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 |
| 16 |  Cantu |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Varese host BC Roma in the Lega A on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.