Valur vs Stjarnan prediction
Valur
22
24
23
21
Stjarnan
22
19
18
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Valur9091Stjarnan7795Valur9091Stjarnan7795Total 186 Margin STJ by 4 Win STJ 58% Actual 167 · VAL won
Valur
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Stjarnan
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Valur vs Stjarnan
Valur
Stjarnan
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Valur at home, last 19 games · Stjarnan away, last 18
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valur 0, Stjarnan 2.
- Average total 196.0 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting STJ by 3 Jan 8, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 8, 2026 Premier league Valur 102–105 Stjarnan 207 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Premier league Stjarnan 94–91 Valur 185 pts
Last five games
Valur
2-3 - May 6: Grindavik 109, Valur 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Valur 85, Grindavik 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Grindavik 93, Valur 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Valur 79, Grindavik 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Grindavik 82, Valur 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Stjarnan
2-3 - May 6: Tindastoll 100, Stjarnan 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Stjarnan 97, Tindastoll 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Tindastoll 103, Stjarnan 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Stjarnan 105, Tindastoll 103. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Tindastoll 95, Stjarnan 96. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Stjarnan coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 175.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- 3rd vs 8th in the Premier league standings.
- Different pace — Valur averaged 80.3 possessions per game, Stjarnan 89.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 2.37 | moved down 2.25 |
| STJ moneyline | 1.52 | moved up 1.57 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| VAL spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier league standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alftanes |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 468 | 380 | +88 |
| 2 |  KR Basket |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 390 | 329 | +61 |
| 3 | Valur |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 351 | 320 | +31 |
| 4 |  Tindastoll |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 377 | 342 | +35 |
| 5 |  Keflavik |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 436 | 409 | +27 |
| 6 |  Grindavik |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 367 | −11 |
| 7 |  Hottur |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 387 | 417 | −30 |
| 8 | Stjarnan |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 369 | 387 | −18 |
| 9 |  IR Reykjavik |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 377 | 420 | −43 |
| 10 |  Njardvik |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 338 | 366 | −28 |
| 11 |  Sindri |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 354 | 388 | −34 |
| 12 |  Armann |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 334 | 412 | −78 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valur host Stjarnan in the Premier league on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.