Valur vs Grindavik Prediction & Odds — Oct 16

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Premier league Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start15:30ET Round 2

ValurHome · 4-0 · 3rd · 1.40

8129161719

GrindavikAway · 2-2 · 6th · 2.70

742628146

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Valur 29 16 17 19

Grindavik 26 28 14 6

FT Origo-hollin Hlidarenda · IcelandOrigo-hollin Hlidarenda · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.36 62%

Valur to win edge −2.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.36 Valur to win Confidence62% model 56.8% · market 58.9% edge −2.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.36 56.8% 58.9% −2.1% 62% Won

Total points O168.5 1.67 60.4% 50.0% +10.4% 68% Lost

Point spread GRI +3.5 2.15 51.4% 49.7% +1.7% 53% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valur8188

Grindavik7486

Total 174 actual 155

Winning margin VAL by 2 actual VAL by 7

Chance to win VAL 57% VAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valur8188

Grindavik7486

Total 174 Margin VAL by 2 Win VAL 57% Actual 155 · VAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Valur large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Grindavik

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Valur vs Grindavik

Valur Grindavik

Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Valur 3-2

Oct 8: Valur 90, Stjarnan 77. Won. Odds: Valur 2.25, Stjarnan 1.57.
May 6: Grindavik 109, Valur 82. Lost. No odds on record.
May 4: Valur 85, Grindavik 79. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 30: Grindavik 93, Valur 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Valur 79, Grindavik 72. Won. No odds on record.

Grindavik 3-2

Oct 9: Grindavik 80, KR Basket 91. Lost. Odds: Grindavik 3.50, KR Basket 1.22.
May 18: Tindastoll 102, Grindavik 109. Won. No odds on record.
May 15: Grindavik 89, Tindastoll 94. Lost. No odds on record.
May 12: Tindastoll 83, Grindavik 86. Won. No odds on record.
May 9: Grindavik 85, Tindastoll 80. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VAL moneyline	1.68	moved down 1.40
GRI moneyline	2.05	moved up 2.70
Total points	168.5	moved up 170.5
VAL spread	−3.5	moved down −5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Premier league standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Alftanes	4	4	0	8	468	380	+88
2	KR Basket	4	4	0	8	390	329	+61
3	Valur	4	4	0	8	351	320	+31
4	Tindastoll	4	3	1	7	377	342	+35
5	Keflavik	4	3	1	7	436	409	+27
6	Grindavik	4	2	2	6	356	367	−11
7	Hottur	4	2	2	6	387	417	−30
8	Stjarnan	4	1	3	5	369	387	−18
9	IR Reykjavik	4	1	3	5	377	420	−43
10	Njardvik	4	0	4	4	338	366	−28
11	Sindri	4	0	4	4	354	388	−34
12	Armann	4	0	4	4	334	412	−78

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Valur host Grindavik in the Premier league on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.