Valencia vs Olympiacos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 184 Margin OLY by 2 Win OLY 58% Actual 199 · OLY won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Valencia vs Olympiacos
Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions
Valencia at home, last 9 games · Olympiacos away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valencia 2, Olympiacos 0.
- Average total 180.0 points per meeting
- Over 183.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VAL by 1 Mar 24, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 24, 2026 EuroLeague Valencia 85–84 Olympiacos 169 pts
- Dec 16, 2025 EuroLeague Olympiacos 92–99 Valencia 191 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Barcelona 89, Valencia 86. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.65, Valencia 2.07.
- Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
- Oct 4: Basket Zaragoza 82, Valencia 97. Won. Odds: Basket Zaragoza 2.52, Valencia 1.50.
- Oct 2: Lyon-Villeurbanne 92, Valencia 105. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.45, Valencia 1.56.
- Sep 29: Valencia 111, Baskonia 88. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.27, Baskonia 3.71.
- Oct 11: Olympiacos 99, Kolossos Rhodes 83. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.02, Kolossos Rhodes 11.30.
- Oct 9: Olympiacos 89, Anadolu Efes 66. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.16, Anadolu Efes 5.30.
- Oct 4: Iraklis 68, Olympiacos 78. Won. Odds: Iraklis 8.00, Olympiacos 1.06.
- Oct 1: Virtus Bologna 96, Olympiacos 94. Lost. Odds: Virtus Bologna 4.50, Olympiacos 1.20.
- Sep 29: Zalgiris Kaunas 91, Olympiacos 93. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2.11, Olympiacos 1.73.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Olympiacos coming into this game.
- 5-1 away for Olympiacos this season.
- Over/under moved up from 181.5 to 183.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Valencia.
- 5th vs 2nd in the EuroLeague standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 2.00 | moved up 2.05 |
| OLY moneyline | 1.72 | moved down 1.65 |
| Total points | 181.5 | moved up 183.5 |
| VAL spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valencia host Olympiacos in the EuroLeague on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.