Valencia vs Murcia Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start11:00ET Round 4

ValenciaHome · 4-2 · 2nd · 1.20

11625332830

MurciaAway · 3-3 · 10th · 4.00

9314222433

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Valencia 25 33 28 30

Murcia 14 22 24 33

FT Roig Arena · SpainRoig Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

MUR +15.5 1.30 84%

Murcia +15.5 on the spread edge +12.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost MUR +15.5 1.30 Murcia +15.5 on the spread Confidence84% model 84.4% · market 72.1% edge +12.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.20 50.6% 73.8% −23.2% 51% Won

Total points U192.5 1.35 76.7% 71.1% +5.6% 77% Lost

Point spread MUR +15.5 1.30 84.4% 72.1% +12.3% 84% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valencia11690

Murcia9389

Total 179 actual 209

Winning margin VAL by 1 actual VAL by 23

Chance to win VAL 51% VAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valencia11690

Murcia9389

Total 179 Margin VAL by 1 Win VAL 51% Actual 209 · VAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Valencia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Murcia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Valencia vs Murcia

Valencia Murcia

Last 16 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Valencia 2-3

Oct 15: Valencia 88, Maccabi Tel Aviv 91. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.31, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.38.
Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
Oct 11: Barcelona 89, Valencia 86. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.65, Valencia 2.07.
Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
Oct 4: Basket Zaragoza 82, Valencia 97. Won. Odds: Basket Zaragoza 2.52, Valencia 1.50.

Murcia 3-2

Oct 14: Bamberg 67, Murcia 86. Won. Odds: Bamberg 3.31, Murcia 1.31.
Oct 11: Murcia 77, Tenerife 90. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.42, Tenerife 2.79.
Oct 7: Murcia 85, Varese 58. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.12, Varese 5.75.
Oct 4: Murcia 100, Barcelona 94. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.92, Barcelona 1.85.
Sep 27: Basquet Girona 84, Murcia 77. Lost. Odds: Basquet Girona 2.21, Murcia 1.64.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VAL moneyline	1.22	moved down 1.20
MUR moneyline	3.85	moved up 4.00
Total points	182.5	182.5
VAL spread	−8.5	−8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Valencia host Murcia in the ACB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.