Valencia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 183 Margin VAL by 1 Win VAL 50% Actual 179 · MTA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Valencia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 16 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Valencia at home, last 9 games · Maccabi Tel Aviv away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valencia 1, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.
- Average total 172.0 points per meeting
- Over 184.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VAL by 11 Jan 29, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 29, 2026 EuroLeague Valencia 94–83 Maccabi Tel Aviv 177 pts
- Dec 18, 2025 EuroLeague Maccabi Tel Aviv 85–82 Valencia 167 pts
Last five games
- Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
- Oct 11: Barcelona 89, Valencia 86. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.65, Valencia 2.07.
- Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
- Oct 4: Basket Zaragoza 82, Valencia 97. Won. Odds: Basket Zaragoza 2.52, Valencia 1.50.
- Oct 2: Lyon-Villeurbanne 92, Valencia 105. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.45, Valencia 1.56.
- Oct 13: Barcelona 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 87. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.41, Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.90.
- Oct 10: Maccabi Tel Aviv 120, Galil Elyon 93. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.03, Galil Elyon 5.20.
- Oct 8: Maccabi Tel Aviv 97, Olimpia Milano 79. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Olimpia Milano 2.76.
- Oct 4: Maccabi Tel Aviv 88, Hapoel Jerusalem 71. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.41, Hapoel Jerusalem 2.76.
- Oct 2: Panathinaikos 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 67. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.12, Maccabi Tel Aviv 5.25.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 away for Maccabi Tel Aviv this season.
- Over/under moved up from 180.5 to 184.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.8 — Valencia +11.0 per 100 possessions, Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.2.
- 5th vs 17th in the EuroLeague standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 1.37 | moved down 1.31 |
| MTA moneyline | 2.85 | moved up 3.38 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved up 184.5 |
| VAL spread | −5.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valencia host Maccabi Tel Aviv in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.