Valencia vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction
Valencia
29
18
27
19
Hapoel Tel Aviv
17
23
17
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Valencia9397Hapoel Tel Aviv8289Valencia9397Hapoel Tel Aviv8289Total 186 Margin VAL by 8 Win VAL 72% Actual 175 · VAL won
Valencia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Hapoel Tel Aviv
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Valencia vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Valencia
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 16 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Valencia at home, last 9 games · Hapoel Tel Aviv away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valencia 1, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.
- Average total 198.0 points per meeting
- Over 184.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VAL by 5 Feb 5, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 5, 2026 EuroLeague Hapoel Tel Aviv 99–104 OT Valencia 203 pts · OT
- Oct 15, 2025 EuroLeague Valencia 93–100 Hapoel Tel Aviv 193 pts
Last five games
Valencia
4-1 - Oct 4: Basket Zaragoza 82, Valencia 97. Won. Odds: Basket Zaragoza 2.52, Valencia 1.50.
- Oct 2: Lyon-Villeurbanne 92, Valencia 105. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.45, Valencia 1.56.
- Sep 29: Valencia 111, Baskonia 88. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.27, Baskonia 3.71.
- Sep 27: Valencia 100, Forca Lleida 105. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.11, Forca Lleida 6.12.
- Sep 25: Besiktas 94, Valencia 96. Won. Odds: Besiktas 1.75, Valencia 2.08.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4-1 - Oct 3: Hapoel Tel Aviv 79, Nes Ziona 76. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.14, Nes Ziona 5.34.
- Oct 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv 102, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
- Sep 29: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 80, Hapoel Tel Aviv 81. Won. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.69, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.18.
- Sep 26: Hapoel Tel Aviv 85, Hapoel Beer Sheva 67. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.06, Hapoel Beer Sheva 7.71.
- Sep 24: Hapoel Tel Aviv 84, Bayern 86. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.33, Bayern 3.29.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Hapoel Tel Aviv coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Valencia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Valencia dropped from 1.90 to 1.68 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 175.5 to 184.5 since it was first published.
- −14.5 points away — Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 98.8 at home and 84.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 1.90 | moved down 1.68 |
| HTA moneyline | 1.82 | moved up 2.20 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved up 184.5 |
| VAL spread | +1.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 |
| 2 |  Olympiacos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 |
| 3 |  Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 |
| 5 | Valencia |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 |
| 6 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 |
| 7 |  Fenerbahce |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 |
| 8 |  Barcelona |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 |
| 9 |  Dubai |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 |
| 10 |  Zalgiris Kaunas |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 |
| 11 |  Besiktas |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 |
| 12 |  Partizan Mozzart Bet |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 |
| 13 |  Virtus Bologna |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 |
| 14 |  Anadolu Efes |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 |
| 15 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 |
| 16 |  Paris |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 |
| 17 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 |
| 18 |  Bayern |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 |
| 19 |  Olimpia Milano |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 |
| 20 |  Baskonia |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valencia host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.