Valencia vs Forca Lleida Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start12:00ET Round 1

ValenciaHome · 4-2 · 2nd · 1.11

10020331928

Forca LleidaAway · 1-5 · 17th · 6.12

10526242629

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Valencia 20 33 19 28

Forca Lleida 26 24 26 29

FT Roig Arena · SpainRoig Arena · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

VAL -13 1.82 55%

Valencia −13 on the spread edge +2.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost VAL -13 1.82 Valencia −13 on the spread Confidence55% model 52.7% · market 50.0% edge +2.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.11 91.5% 87.0% +4.5% 89% Lost

Total points O184.5 1.81 50.7% 50.7% 0.0% 51% Won

Point spread VAL -13 1.82 52.7% 50.0% +2.7% 55% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valencia100101

Forca Lleida10584

Total 185 actual 205

Winning margin VAL by 17 actual FOR by 5

Chance to win VAL 91% FOR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valencia100101

Forca Lleida10584

Total 185 Margin VAL by 17 Win VAL 91% Actual 205 · FOR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 15+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Valencia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Forca Lleida

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Valencia vs Forca Lleida

Valencia Forca Lleida

Last 16 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Valencia 4-1

Sep 25: Besiktas 94, Valencia 96. Won. Odds: Besiktas 1.75, Valencia 2.08.
Sep 19: Valencia 86, Barcelona 87. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.57, Barcelona 2.30.
Jun 24: Barcelona 84, Valencia 108. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 22: Barcelona 80, Valencia 88. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 20: Valencia 102, Barcelona 75. Won. No odds on record.

Forca Lleida 2-3

May 29: Murcia 116, Forca Lleida 95. Lost. No odds on record.
May 24: Forca Lleida 88, MoraBanc Andorra 116. Lost. No odds on record.
May 17: Forca Lleida 75, Gran Canaria 72. Won. No odds on record.
May 13: Breogan 114, Forca Lleida 87. Lost. No odds on record.
May 10: Forca Lleida 90, Bilbao 81. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VAL moneyline	1.08	moved up 1.11
FOR moneyline	7.00	moved down 6.12
Total points	180.5	moved up 184.5
VAL spread	−12.5	moved down −13

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Valencia host Forca Lleida in the ACB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.