Valencia vs Ferrol Prediction & Odds

Liga Femenina Women Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start06:15ET Round 4

ValenciaHome · 5-1 · 4th · 1.04

8720172525

FerrolAway · 4-2 · 5th · 5.10

5012131114

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Valencia 20 17 25 25

Ferrol 12 13 11 14

FT Roig Arena · SpainRoig Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

FER +17.5 1.84 51%

Ferrol +17.5 on the spread edge −8.8%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost FER +17.5 1.84 Ferrol +17.5 on the spread Confidence51% model 41.3% · market 50.1% edge −8.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.04 84.6% 88.2% −3.6% 85% Won

Total points O148.5 1.85 50.8% 49.6% +1.2% 52% Lost

Point spread FER +17.5 1.84 41.3% 50.1% −8.8% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valencia8783

Ferrol5066

Total 149 actual 137

Winning margin VAL by 17 actual VAL by 37

Chance to win VAL 85% VAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valencia8783

Ferrol5066

Total 149 Margin VAL by 17 Win VAL 85% Actual 137 · VAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Valencia Ferrol

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Valencia vs Ferrol

Valencia Ferrol

Last 8 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Valencia 3-2

Oct 14: Valencia 69, Fenerbahce 88. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.87, Fenerbahce 1.23.
Oct 11: Estudiantes 70, Valencia 99. Won. Odds: Estudiantes 4.15, Valencia 1.19.
Oct 7: Valencia 82, Perfumerias Avenida 57. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.08, Perfumerias Avenida 6.00.
Oct 3: Mallorca Palma 88, Valencia 71. Lost. Odds: Mallorca Palma 2.89, Valencia 1.30.
Sep 27: Valencia 76, Leganes 64. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.22, Leganes 3.70.

Ferrol 3-2

Oct 14: Olympiacos 96, Ferrol 68. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.61, Ferrol 2.10.
Oct 11: Ferrol 84, Estepona 72. Won. Odds: Ferrol 1.68, Estepona 2.00.
Oct 8: Jairis 74, Ferrol 61. Lost. Odds: Jairis 1.19, Ferrol 3.77.
Oct 4: Ferrol 82, Araski 77. Won. Odds: Ferrol 1.39, Araski 2.55.
Oct 1: Ferrol 85, Beroe 58. Won. Odds: Ferrol 1.01, Beroe 9.75.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VAL moneyline	1.04	1.04
FER moneyline	7.80	moved down 5.10
Total points	148.5	148.5
VAL spread	−17.5	moved down −18.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga Femenina Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zaragoza	6	6	0	12	513	351	+162
2	Mallorca Palma	6	5	1	11	478	401	+77
3	Jairis	6	5	1	11	441	375	+66
4	Valencia	6	5	1	11	495	376	+119
5	Ferrol	6	4	2	10	444	466	−22
6	IDK Gipuzkoa	6	4	2	10	417	382	+35
7	Estepona	6	4	2	10	416	381	+35
8	Cadi La Seu	6	4	2	10	394	391	+3
9	Gernika Bizkaia	6	3	3	9	469	496	−27
10	Perfumerias Avenida	6	2	4	8	430	455	−25
11	Leganes	6	2	4	8	368	420	−52
12	Estudiantes	6	2	4	8	400	458	−58
13	Uni Girona	6	1	5	7	385	418	−33
14	Ensino	6	1	5	7	360	454	−94
15	Araski	6	0	6	6	369	455	−86
16	Celta	6	0	6	6	386	486	−100

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Valencia host Ferrol in the Liga Femenina Women on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.