Valencia vs Fenerbahce prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin VAL by 2 Win VAL 58% Actual 164 · VAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Valencia vs Fenerbahce
Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions
Valencia at home, last 9 games · Fenerbahce away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valencia 1, Fenerbahce 1.
- Average total 167.0 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FEN by 3 Jan 16, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 16, 2026 EuroLeague Fenerbahce 82–79 Valencia 161 pts
- Oct 28, 2025 EuroLeague Valencia 94–79 Fenerbahce 173 pts
Last five games
- Oct 25: Valencia 84, Baskonia 75. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.10, Baskonia 6.00.
- Oct 23: Paris 93, Valencia 104. Won. Odds: Paris 2.50, Valencia 1.46.
- Oct 18: Valencia 116, Murcia 93. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.20, Murcia 4.00.
- Oct 15: Valencia 88, Maccabi Tel Aviv 91. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.31, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.38.
- Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
- Oct 25: Karsiyaka 72, Fenerbahce 97. Won. Odds: Karsiyaka 3.60, Fenerbahce 1.24.
- Oct 23: Olympiacos 61, Fenerbahce 64. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.79, Fenerbahce 1.86.
- Oct 18: Fenerbahce 77, Petkim Spor 82. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.04, Petkim Spor 5.00.
- Oct 15: Fenerbahce 74, Partizan Mozzart Bet 65. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.14, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.65.
- Oct 13: Fenerbahce 99, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.33, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.30.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Valencia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Valencia dropped from 2.00 to 1.79 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 175.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- −12.4 points away — Fenerbahce averaged 85.4 at home and 73.0 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Fenerbahce.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 2.00 | moved down 1.79 |
| FEN moneyline | 1.72 | moved up 1.86 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved down 173.5 |
| VAL spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valencia host Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.