Valencia vs Celta prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 145 Margin VAL by 23 Win VAL 93% Actual 133 · VAL won
Valencia vs Celta
Last five games
- Oct 28: Valencia 105, Rapid Bucuresti 47. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.01, Rapid Bucuresti 9.00.
- Oct 25: Ensino 59, Valencia 75. Won. Odds: Ensino 6.50, Valencia 1.03.
- Oct 21: Valencia 63, Flammes Carolo 77. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.13, Flammes Carolo 5.50.
- Oct 18: Valencia 87, Ferrol 50. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.04, Ferrol 5.10.
- Oct 14: Valencia 69, Fenerbahce 88. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.87, Fenerbahce 1.23.
- Oct 24: Celta 80, Cadi La Seu 86. Lost. Odds: Celta 2.02, Cadi La Seu 1.65.
- Oct 18: Jairis 77, Celta 57. Lost. Odds: Jairis 1.04, Celta 5.10.
- Oct 11: Celta 52, Zaragoza 83. Lost. Odds: Celta 5.70, Zaragoza 1.09.
- Oct 8: IDK Gipuzkoa 75, Celta 65. Lost. Odds: IDK Gipuzkoa 1.25, Celta 3.26.
- Oct 3: Celta 80, Gernika Bizkaia 84. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Celta 1.90, Gernika Bizkaia 1.77.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Celta coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Celta dropped from 17.00 to 8.00 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Celta, 3 for Valencia.
- 4th vs 16th in the Liga Femenina Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| CEL moneyline | 17.00 | moved down 8.00 |
| Total points | 145.5 | 145.5 |
| VAL spread | −25.5 | moved down −26.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Femenina Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 513 | 351 | +162 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 478 | 401 | +77 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 441 | 375 | +66 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 495 | 376 | +119 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 444 | 466 | −22 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 417 | 382 | +35 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 416 | 381 | +35 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 394 | 391 | +3 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 496 | −27 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 430 | 455 | −25 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 368 | 420 | −52 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 400 | 458 | −58 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 385 | 418 | −33 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 360 | 454 | −94 | |
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 369 | 455 | −86 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 386 | 486 | −100 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valencia host Celta in the Liga Femenina Women on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
