Valencia vs Baskonia prediction
Valencia
27
14
18
25
Baskonia
19
16
18
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Valencia8499Baskonia7587Valencia8499Baskonia7587Total 186 Margin VAL by 12 Win VAL 78% Actual 159 · VAL won
Valencia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Baskonia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Valencia vs Baskonia
Valencia
Baskonia
Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions
Valencia at home, last 9 games · Baskonia away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valencia 4, Baskonia 1.
- Average total 182.4 points per meeting
- Over 184.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VAL by 23 Sep 29, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 29, 2026 EuroLeague Valencia 111–88 Baskonia 199 pts
- May 10, 2026 ACB Valencia 86–88 Baskonia 174 pts
- Feb 26, 2026 EuroLeague Baskonia 79–108 Valencia 187 pts
- Dec 23, 2025 EuroLeague Valencia 91–81 Baskonia 172 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 ACB Baskonia 89–91 Valencia 180 pts
Last five games
Valencia
2-3 - Oct 23: Paris 93, Valencia 104. Won. Odds: Paris 2.50, Valencia 1.46.
- Oct 18: Valencia 116, Murcia 93. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.20, Murcia 4.00.
- Oct 15: Valencia 88, Maccabi Tel Aviv 91. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.31, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.38.
- Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
- Oct 11: Barcelona 89, Valencia 86. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.65, Valencia 2.07.
Baskonia
1-4 - Oct 22: Panathinaikos 85, Baskonia 79. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.02, Baskonia 12.00.
- Oct 18: Tenerife 82, Baskonia 77. Lost. Odds: Tenerife 1.38, Baskonia 2.77.
- Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Lost. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
- Oct 13: Baskonia 79, Dubai 93. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 2.22, Dubai 1.66.
- Oct 11: Baskonia 93, Joventut Badalona 73. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.50, Joventut Badalona 2.53.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Baskonia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Valencia dropped from 1.26 to 1.10 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.3 — Valencia +11.0 per 100 possessions, Baskonia −3.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Valencia.
- 182.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 184.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 1.26 | moved down 1.10 |
| BAS moneyline | 3.50 | moved up 6.00 |
| Total points | 183.5 | moved up 184.5 |
| VAL spread | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 | Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 | Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 |  San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valencia host Baskonia in the ACB on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.