Valencia vs Barcelona prediction
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 185 Margin VAL by 9 Win VAL 70% Actual 173 · BAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Valencia vs Barcelona
Last 16 and 17 games with full stats · all competitions
Valencia at home, last 9 games · Barcelona away, last 9
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valencia 3, Barcelona 2.
- Average total 180.8 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAR by 4 Oct 30, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 30, 2026 EuroLeague Barcelona 98–94 Valencia 192 pts
- Oct 11, 2026 ACB Barcelona 89–86 Valencia 175 pts
- Jun 24, 2026 ACB Barcelona 84–108 Valencia 192 pts
- Jun 22, 2026 ACB Barcelona 80–88 Valencia 168 pts
- Jun 20, 2026 ACB Valencia 102–75 Barcelona 177 pts
Last five games
- Jun 24: Barcelona 84, Valencia 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 22: Barcelona 80, Valencia 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 20: Valencia 102, Barcelona 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 18: Valencia 112, Barcelona 113. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 14: Joventut Badalona 75, Valencia 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 24: Barcelona 84, Valencia 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 22: Barcelona 80, Valencia 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 20: Valencia 102, Barcelona 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 18: Valencia 112, Barcelona 113. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 13: Tenerife 76, Barcelona 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Valencia coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Barcelona coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Valencia dropped from 2.40 to 1.57 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 173.5 to 176.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.5 — Valencia +11.0 per 100 possessions, Barcelona +1.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 2.40 | moved down 1.57 |
| BAR moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 2.30 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 176.5 |
| VAL spread | +4.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Valencia host Barcelona in the Supercopa ACB on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

