Valcea vs CSM Targu Mures prediction
Valcea
22
15
15
31
CSM Targu Mures
14
23
20
34
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Valcea8392CSM Targu Mures9190Valcea8392CSM Targu Mures9190Total 182 Margin VAL by 2 Win VAL 57% Actual 174 · CTM won
Valcea
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction CSM Targu Mures
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Valcea vs CSM Targu Mures
Valcea
CSM Targu Mures
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Valcea 0, CSM Targu Mures 2.
- Average total 200.5 points per meeting
- Over 180.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CTM by 18 Apr 2, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 2, 2026 Divizia A CSM Targu Mures 102–84 Valcea 186 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Divizia A Valcea 105–110 OT CSM Targu Mures 215 pts · OT
Last five games
Valcea
4-1 - Oct 10: Petrolul Ploiesti 67, Valcea 93. Won. Odds: Petrolul Ploiesti 4.85, Valcea 1.13.
- Oct 6: Valcea 97, BC Steaua Bucuresti 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Valcea 1.08, BC Steaua Bucuresti 6.20.
- May 27: SCM Timisoara 90, Valcea 94. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Valcea 92, SCM Timisoara 85. Won. No odds on record.
- May 20: SCM Timisoara 90, Valcea 84. Lost. No odds on record.
CSM Targu Mures
4-1 - Oct 10: CSM Targu Mures 85, Voluntari 91. Lost. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.83, Voluntari 1.83.
- Oct 4: SCM Timisoara 72, CSM Targu Mures 78. Won. Odds: SCM Timisoara 1.57, CSM Targu Mures 2.20.
- Sep 30: CSM Targu Mures 109, Municipal Galati 83. Won. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.09, Municipal Galati 5.75.
- Sep 26: Municipal Galati 73, CSM Targu Mures 93. Won. Odds: Municipal Galati 4.45, CSM Targu Mures 1.16.
- May 23: Corona Brasov 81, CSM Targu Mures 96. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Valcea coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last five for CSM Targu Mures.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the Divizia A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAL moneyline | 1.35 | moved down 1.27 |
| CTM moneyline | 2.40 | moved up 2.70 |
| Total points | 181.5 | moved down 180.5 |
| VAL spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Divizia A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Voluntari |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 455 | 405 | +50 |
| 2 | CSM Targu Mures |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 456 | 416 | +40 |
| 3 | Valcea |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 395 | +56 |
| 4 |  CSM Oradea |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 443 | 422 | +21 |
| 5 |  BC Steaua Bucuresti |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 439 | 442 | −3 |
| 6 |  Arges Pitesti |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 438 | 445 | −7 |
| 7 |  Rapid Bucuresti |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 457 | 463 | −6 |
| 8 |  Corona Brasov |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 426 | 447 | −21 |
| 9 |  CSU Sibiu |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 386 | 397 | −11 |
| 10 |  Petrolul Ploiesti |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 380 | 462 | −82 |
| 11 |  SCM Timisoara |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 353 | 358 | −5 |
| 12 |  Dinamo Bucharest |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 235 | +31 |
| 13 |  SCM Craiova |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 305 | 292 | +13 |
| 14 |  Municipal Galati |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 436 | 512 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Valcea host CSM Targu Mures in the Divizia A on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.