Vaerlose vs Holbaek-Stenhus prediction
Vaerlose
10
14
19
21
Holbaek-Stenhus
11
29
17
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Vaerlose6486Holbaek-Stenhus6884Vaerlose6486Holbaek-Stenhus6884Total 170 Margin VAE by 2 Win VAE 55% Actual 132 · HOL won
Vaerlose
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Holbaek-Stenhus
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Vaerlose vs Holbaek-Stenhus
Vaerlose
Holbaek-Stenhus
Last 7 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vaerlose 4, Holbaek-Stenhus 0.
- Average total 169.5 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VAE by 6 Apr 23, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 23, 2026 Basketligaen Holbaek-Stenhus 83–89 Vaerlose 172 pts
- Mar 28, 2026 Basketligaen Vaerlose 87–80 Holbaek-Stenhus 167 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 Basketligaen Vaerlose 87–83 Holbaek-Stenhus 170 pts
- Sep 23, 2025 Basketligaen Holbaek-Stenhus 81–88 Vaerlose 169 pts
Last five games
Vaerlose
0-5 - Oct 18: Vaerlose 82, Bakken Bears 123. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 11.00, Bakken Bears 1.01.
- Oct 8: Vejen 92, Vaerlose 80. Lost. Odds: Vejen 1.64, Vaerlose 2.05.
- Oct 2: Horsens 50, Vaerlose 41. Lost. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Vaerlose 8.57.
- Sep 27: Vaerlose 85, Randers 89. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 5.89, Randers 1.08.
- Sep 22: Copenhagen 88, Vaerlose 74. Lost. Odds: Copenhagen 1.12, Vaerlose 5.00.
Holbaek-Stenhus
2-3 - Oct 15: Horsens 97, Holbaek-Stenhus 83. Lost. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Holbaek-Stenhus 9.65.
- Oct 10: Holbaek-Stenhus 88, Bears Academy 67. Won. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.75, Bears Academy 1.70.
- Oct 1: Holbaek-Stenhus 80, BMS Herlev 77. Won. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.39, BMS Herlev 2.57.
- Sep 26: Svendborg 86, Holbaek-Stenhus 75. Lost. Odds: Svendborg –, Holbaek-Stenhus 12.10.
- Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Lost. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Vaerlose coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Holbaek-Stenhus dropped from 2.70 to 2.30 since they were first published.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Vaerlose.
- −11.3 points away — Holbaek-Stenhus averaged 81.8 at home and 70.5 away this season.
- 169.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAE moneyline | 1.40 | moved up 1.53 |
| HOL moneyline | 2.70 | moved down 2.30 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| VAE spread | −5.5 | moved up −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Team FOG Naestved |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 |
| 3 |  Horsens |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 |
| 4 |  Svendborg |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 |
| 5 |  Randers |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 |
| 6 |  Copenhagen |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 |
| 7 | Holbaek-Stenhus |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 |
| 8 |  Gladsaxe |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 |
| 9 | Vaerlose |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 |
| 10 |  Vejen |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 |  Bears Academy |
8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vaerlose host Holbaek-Stenhus in the Basketligaen on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.