Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears prediction
Vaerlose
23
18
19
22
Bakken Bears
31
25
33
34
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Vaerlose8278Bakken Bears12391Vaerlose8278Bakken Bears12391Total 169 Margin BAK by 13 Win BAK 74% Actual 205 · BAK won
Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears
Vaerlose
Bakken Bears
Last 7 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Vaerlose 0, Bakken Bears 2.
- Average total 170.5 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAK by 44 Jan 3, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 3, 2026 Basketligaen Bakken Bears 114–70 Vaerlose 184 pts
- Dec 29, 2025 Basketligaen Vaerlose 70–87 Bakken Bears 157 pts
Last five games
Vaerlose
1-4 - Oct 8: Vejen 92, Vaerlose 80. Lost. Odds: Vejen 1.64, Vaerlose 2.05.
- Oct 2: Horsens 50, Vaerlose 41. Lost. Odds: Horsens 1.02, Vaerlose 8.57.
- Sep 27: Vaerlose 85, Randers 89. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vaerlose 5.89, Randers 1.08.
- Sep 22: Copenhagen 88, Vaerlose 74. Lost. Odds: Copenhagen 1.12, Vaerlose 5.00.
- Sep 19: Gladsaxe 78, Vaerlose 88. Won. Odds: Gladsaxe 2.32, Vaerlose 1.48.
Bakken Bears
4-1 - Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
- Oct 10: Bakken Bears 103, Randers 86. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Randers 4.15.
- Oct 7: Bakken Bears 81, Benfica 91. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.97, Benfica 1.78.
- Sep 30: Bakken Bears 112, Gladsaxe 75. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears –, Gladsaxe 15.10.
- Sep 27: Bears Academy 84, Bakken Bears 108. Won. Odds: Bears Academy 15.10, Bakken Bears –.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Vaerlose coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 29.8 — Vaerlose −10.5 per 100 possessions, Bakken Bears +19.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Bakken Bears.
- 9th vs 2nd in the Basketligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| VAE moneyline | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| BAK moneyline | — | moved up 1.01 |
| Total points | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| VAE spread | +26.5 | +26.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Team FOG Naestved |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 |
| 2 | Bakken Bears |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 |
| 3 |  Horsens |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 |
| 4 |  Svendborg |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 |
| 5 |  Randers |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 |
| 6 |  Copenhagen |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 |
| 7 |  Holbaek-Stenhus |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 |
| 8 |  Gladsaxe |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 |
| 9 | Vaerlose |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 |
| 10 |  Vejen |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 |  Bears Academy |
8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Vaerlose host Bakken Bears in the Basketligaen on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.