UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki vs KTP Kotka Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 170 Margin KKB by 4 Win KKB 62% Actual 189 · KKB won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki vs KTP Kotka Basket
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki at home, last 5 games · KTP Kotka Basket away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2, KTP Kotka Basket 2.
- Average total 176.5 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UKU by 4 Mar 18, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 18, 2026 Korisliiga UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 81–77 KTP Kotka Basket 158 pts
- Feb 17, 2026 Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket 95–86 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 181 pts
- Jan 25, 2026 Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket 108–107 OT UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 215 pts · OT
- Nov 22, 2025 Korisliiga UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 81–71 KTP Kotka Basket 152 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Salon Vilpas 95, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.20, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 4.23.
- Oct 6: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 88, Helsinki Seagulls 67. Won. Odds: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2.53, Helsinki Seagulls 1.48.
- Oct 3: Kipina 109, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 85. Lost. Odds: Kipina 1.95, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 1.75.
- Sep 30: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 89, Pyrinto Tampere 96. Lost. Odds: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 1.20, Pyrinto Tampere 3.90.
- Sep 22: Kouvot Kouvola 85, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 1.60, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2.10.
- Oct 14: Salon Vilpas 81, KTP Kotka Basket 102. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.38, KTP Kotka Basket 2.88.
- Oct 9: KTP Kotka Basket 88, Pyrinto Tampere 72. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.44, Pyrinto Tampere 2.70.
- Oct 3: Karhu Basket 78, KTP Kotka Basket 84. Won. Odds: Karhu Basket 2.15, KTP Kotka Basket 1.62.
- Sep 29: KTP Kotka Basket 87, Bisons Loimaa 64. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.19, Bisons Loimaa 4.32.
- Sep 16: KTP Kotka Basket 86, Kipina 78. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.06, Kipina 7.54.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for KTP Kotka Basket coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on KTP Kotka Basket dropped from 1.72 to 1.31 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki, 2 for KTP Kotka Basket.
- Net rating difference of 17.6 — UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki −4.9 per 100 possessions, KTP Kotka Basket +12.7.
- 1-4 in the last five for UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UKU moneyline | 2.00 | moved up 3.15 |
| KKB moneyline | 1.72 | moved down 1.31 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| UKU spread | +3.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki host KTP Kotka Basket in the Korisliiga on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.