Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 227 Margin SAS by 9 Win SAS 74% Actual 228 · SAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Utah Jazz 2, San Antonio Spurs 3.
- Average total 240.2 points per meeting
- Over 233.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UTA by 10 Oct 12, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 12, 2026 NBA Utah Jazz 119–109 San Antonio Spurs 228 pts
- Jan 22, 2026 NBA Utah Jazz 109–126 San Antonio Spurs 235 pts
- Jan 19, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 123–110 Utah Jazz 233 pts
- Dec 27, 2025 NBA San Antonio Spurs 114–127 Utah Jazz 241 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 NBA San Antonio Spurs 134–130 OT Utah Jazz 264 pts · OT
Last five games
- Oct 26: Utah Jazz 105, Memphis Grizzlies 110. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.95, Memphis Grizzlies 1.87.
- Oct 25: Utah Jazz 123, Los Angeles Lakers 132. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 3.00, Los Angeles Lakers 1.41.
- Oct 23: Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119. Won. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.88, New Orleans Pelicans 1.94.
- Oct 21: Memphis Grizzlies 123, Utah Jazz 103. Lost. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 1.78, Utah Jazz 1.91.
- Oct 16: Phoenix Suns 116, Utah Jazz 119. Won. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.50, Utah Jazz 2.40.
- Oct 27: San Antonio Spurs 130, Sacramento Kings 103. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.05, Sacramento Kings 11.00.
- Oct 24: Dallas Mavericks 106, San Antonio Spurs 122. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 7.00, San Antonio Spurs 1.11.
- Oct 23: San Antonio Spurs 110, Houston Rockets 114. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.52, Houston Rockets 2.62.
- Oct 20: San Antonio Spurs 104, Oklahoma City Thunder 116. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.97, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.85.
- Oct 16: San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.11, Sacramento Kings 5.55.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for San Antonio Spurs, who played yesterday.
- Net rating difference of 17.7 — Utah Jazz −9.9 per 100 possessions, San Antonio Spurs +7.8.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for San Antonio Spurs.
- −6.7 points away — San Antonio Spurs averaged 118.2 at home and 111.5 away this season.
- 240.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 233.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UTA moneyline | 5.25 | moved up 6.50 |
| SAS moneyline | 1.17 | moved down 1.13 |
| Total points | 234.5 | moved down 233.5 |
| UTA spread | +11.5 | moved up +13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Utah Jazz host San Antonio Spurs in the NBA on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.