Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 245 Margin NOP by 5 Win NOP 60% Actual 239 · UTA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Utah Jazz 0, New Orleans Pelicans 3.
- Average total 253.3 points per meeting
- Over 239.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NOP by 19 Apr 7, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 7, 2026 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 156–137 Utah Jazz 293 pts
- Feb 28, 2026 NBA Utah Jazz 105–115 New Orleans Pelicans 220 pts
- Feb 26, 2026 NBA Utah Jazz 118–129 New Orleans Pelicans 247 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Memphis Grizzlies 123, Utah Jazz 103. Lost. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 1.78, Utah Jazz 1.91.
- Oct 16: Phoenix Suns 116, Utah Jazz 119. Won. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.50, Utah Jazz 2.40.
- Oct 12: Utah Jazz 119, San Antonio Spurs 109. Won. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.43, San Antonio Spurs 2.68.
- Oct 6: Utah Jazz 106, Denver Nuggets 117. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.85, Denver Nuggets 1.95.
- Oct 4: Denver Nuggets 97, Utah Jazz 109. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.55, Utah Jazz 2.50.
- Oct 21: New Orleans Pelicans 120, Indiana Pacers 123. Lost. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.20, Indiana Pacers 1.57.
- Oct 16: New Orleans Pelicans 107, Washington Wizards 106. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 1.82, Washington Wizards 1.88.
- Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
- Oct 8: Miami Heat 128, New Orleans Pelicans 118. Lost. Odds: Miami Heat 1.30, New Orleans Pelicans 3.10.
- Oct 6: Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.95, New Orleans Pelicans 1.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on New Orleans Pelicans dropped from 2.55 to 1.94 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for New Orleans Pelicans.
- Over/under moved down from 242.5 to 239.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.0 — Utah Jazz −9.9 per 100 possessions, New Orleans Pelicans +2.1.
- 253.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 239.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UTA moneyline | 1.48 | moved up 1.88 |
| NOP moneyline | 2.55 | moved down 1.94 |
| Total points | 242.5 | moved down 239.5 |
| UTA spread | −5.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Utah Jazz host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.