Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Odds — Oct 6

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NBA Tuesday, October 6, 2026Tue, Oct 6 Start21:00ET

Utah JazzHome · 1-5 · 2nd · 1.85

10631282225

Denver NuggetsAway · 3-2 · 8th · 1.95

11724413022

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Utah Jazz 31 28 22 25

Denver Nuggets 24 41 30 22

FT Delta Center · USADelta Center

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

UTA +9.5 1.30 67%

Utah Jazz +9.5 on the spread edge −14.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost UTA +9.5 1.30 Utah Jazz +9.5 on the spread Confidence67% model 58.7% · market 73.4% edge −14.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.95 41.8% 52.9% −11.1% 51% Won

Total points O217.5 1.24 90.5% 74.5% +16.0% 89% Won

Point spread UTA +9.5 1.30 58.7% 73.4% −14.7% 67% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Utah Jazz106122

Denver Nuggets117123

Total 245 actual 223

Winning margin DEN by 1 actual DEN by 11

Chance to win DEN 52% DEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Utah Jazz106122

Denver Nuggets117123

Total 245 Margin DEN by 1 Win DEN 52% Actual 223 · DEN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Utah Jazz large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Denver Nuggets

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Utah Jazz Denver Nuggets

Last 6 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Utah Jazz 2-3

Oct 4: Denver Nuggets 97, Utah Jazz 109. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.55, Utah Jazz 2.50.
Apr 12: Los Angeles Lakers 131, Utah Jazz 107. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 10: Utah Jazz 147, Memphis Grizzlies 101. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 7: New Orleans Pelicans 156, Utah Jazz 137. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 5: Oklahoma City Thunder 146, Utah Jazz 111. Lost. No odds on record.

Denver Nuggets 1-4

Oct 4: Denver Nuggets 97, Utah Jazz 109. Lost. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.55, Utah Jazz 2.50.
Apr 30: Minnesota Timberwolves 110, Denver Nuggets 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 27: Denver Nuggets 125, Minnesota Timberwolves 113. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Minnesota Timberwolves 112, Denver Nuggets 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 23: Minnesota Timberwolves 113, Denver Nuggets 96. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
UTA moneyline	2.40	moved down 1.85
DEN moneyline	1.55	moved up 1.95
Total points	230.5	230.5
UTA spread	+1.5	+1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBA standings

Pre-season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Memphis Grizzlies	4	3	1	.750	470	443	+27
2	Utah Jazz	4	3	1	.750	453	439	+14
3	New Orleans Pelicans	4	3	1	.750	442	441	+1
4	Golden State Warriors	6	4	2	.667	683	638	+45
5	Houston Rockets	3	2	1	.667	366	338	+28
6	Portland Trail Blazers	3	2	1	.667	351	344	+7
7	Los Angeles Clippers	3	2	1	.667	332	325	+7
8	Denver Nuggets	5	3	2	.600	578	571	+7
9	Minnesota Timberwolves	6	3	3	.500	697	709	−12
10	San Antonio Spurs	5	2	3	.400	572	544	+28
11	Los Angeles Lakers	5	2	3	.400	534	559	−25
12	Dallas Mavericks	4	1	3	.250	457	486	−29
13	Phoenix Suns	5	1	4	.200	545	573	−28
14	Oklahoma City Thunder	5	1	4	.200	549	585	−36
15	Sacramento Kings	5	0	5	.000	514	588	−74

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Utah Jazz host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.