Usti n. Labem vs Brno prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin BRN by 6 Win BRN 63% Actual 151 · UNL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Usti n. Labem vs Brno
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Usti n. Labem at home, last 6 games · Brno away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Usti n. Labem 2, Brno 2.
- Average total 158.8 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UNL by 4 Apr 12, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 12, 2026 NBL Brno 84–88 Usti n. Labem 172 pts
- Feb 15, 2026 NBL Usti n. Labem 82–70 Brno 152 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 NBL Brno 87–73 Usti n. Labem 160 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 NBL Usti n. Labem 64–87 Brno 151 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: Usti n. Labem 86, Opava 76. Won. Odds: Usti n. Labem 1.50, Opava 2.46.
- Sep 26: USK Prague 80, Usti n. Labem 89. Won. Odds: USK Prague 1.54, Usti n. Labem 2.37.
- Sep 23: Usti n. Labem 115, Plzen 74. Won. Odds: Usti n. Labem –, Plzen 20.50.
- Sep 20: Usti n. Labem 78, Srsni Pisek 80. Lost. Odds: Usti n. Labem 1.54, Srsni Pisek 2.36.
- May 9: Opava 103, Usti n. Labem 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 30: Decin 86, Brno 78. Lost. Odds: Decin 1.40, Brno 2.80.
- Sep 26: Brno 96, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 108. Lost. Odds: Brno 7.50, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.05.
- Sep 23: NH Ostrava 85, Brno 76. Lost. Odds: NH Ostrava 1.44, Brno 2.63.
- Sep 19: Pardubice 85, Brno 79. Lost. Odds: Pardubice 1.13, Brno 5.10.
- Jun 6: Brno 101, Opava 102. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Brno coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Usti n. Labem coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 13.8 — Usti n. Labem +9.5 per 100 possessions, Brno −4.3.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 158.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 170.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UNL moneyline | 1.31 | moved down 1.29 |
| BRN moneyline | 3.26 | moved up 3.33 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| UNL spread | −8.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Usti n. Labem host Brno in the NBL on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.