Urunday vs Penarol prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin PEN by 4 Win PEN 62% Actual 170 · PEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Urunday vs Penarol
Last 25 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Urunday at home, last 16 games · Penarol away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Urunday 0, Penarol 5.
- Average total 165.6 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PEN by 23 May 11, 2026
Meetings
- May 11, 2026 Liga Uruguaya Penarol 87–64 Urunday 151 pts
- May 8, 2026 Liga Uruguaya Urunday 86–109 Penarol 195 pts
- May 5, 2026 Liga Uruguaya Penarol 89–67 Urunday 156 pts
- Feb 19, 2026 Liga Uruguaya Urunday 83–100 Penarol 183 pts
- Dec 4, 2025 Liga Uruguaya Penarol 85–58 Urunday 143 pts
Last five games
- May 11: Penarol 87, Urunday 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Urunday 86, Penarol 109. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 5: Penarol 89, Urunday 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 23: Urunday 88, Goes 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Cordon 82, Urunday 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 22: Aguada 92, Penarol 107. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 19: Penarol 80, Aguada 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 16: Aguada 92, Penarol 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 12: Aguada 78, Penarol 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 9: Penarol 89, Aguada 84. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Urunday coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Penarol.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 18.0 — Urunday −4.1 per 100 possessions, Penarol +13.9.
- 165.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| URU moneyline | 3.85 | moved up 4.20 |
| PEN moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.17 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| URU spread | +9.5 | moved up +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 | |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Urunday host Penarol in the Liga Uruguaya on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.