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Urunday vs Penarol prediction

Liga Uruguaya Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start20:30ET
UrundayHome · 1-3 · 7th · Moneyline odds up 4.20
791st quarter 262nd quarter 243rd quarter 74th quarter 22
PenarolAway · 2-0 · 8th · Moneyline odds down 1.17
911st quarter 242nd quarter 243rd quarter 234th quarter 20
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Urunday 26 24 7 22
Penarol 24 24 23 20
FT Urunday Universitario · UruguayUrunday Universitario
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
2 odds down 1.17 86% confidence
Penarol to win edge −14.2%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 odds down 1.17 Penarol to win Confidence86% model 62.0% · market 76.2% edge −14.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds down 1.17 62.0% 76.2% −14.2% 86% Won
Total points O164.5 1.78 70.4% 51.0% +19.4% 67% Won
Point spread URU +9.5 1.90 54.6% 48.8% +5.8% 59% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Urunday7985
Penarol9189
Total 174 actual 170
Winning margin PEN by 4 actual PEN by 12
Chance to win PEN 62% PEN won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Urunday7985
Penarol9189

Total 174 Margin PEN by 4 Win PEN 62% Actual 170 · PEN won

Urunday host Penarol in the Liga Uruguaya on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.