Urunday vs Larranaga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 170 Margin URU by 2 Win URU 55% Actual 161 · URU won
Urunday vs Larranaga
Last five games
- Oct 27: Urunday 91, Bigua 99. Lost. Odds: Urunday 2.02, Bigua 1.62.
- Oct 24: Hebraica y Macabi 80, Urunday 77. Lost. Odds: Hebraica y Macabi 1.22, Urunday 3.40.
- Oct 21: Urunday 79, Penarol 91. Lost. Odds: Urunday 4.20, Penarol 1.17.
- May 11: Penarol 87, Urunday 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Urunday 86, Penarol 109. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 27: Larranaga 91, Aguada 75. Won. Odds: Larranaga 5.20, Aguada 1.08.
- Oct 23: Bigua 94, Larranaga 74. Lost. Odds: Bigua 1.05, Larranaga 6.00.
- Oct 21: Larranaga 78, Union Atletica 94. Lost. Odds: Larranaga 1.70, Union Atletica 1.98.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Urunday coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Larranaga dropped from 3.80 to 2.95 since they were first published.
- 7th vs 12th in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| URU moneyline | 1.20 | moved up 1.28 |
| LAR moneyline | 3.80 | moved down 2.95 |
| Total points | 172.5 | 172.5 |
| URU spread | −9.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 | |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Urunday host Larranaga in the Liga Uruguaya on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.