Uppsala vs Hogsbo prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin UPP by 9 Win UPP 70% Actual 180 · UPP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Uppsala vs Hogsbo
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Uppsala 2, Hogsbo 1.
- Average total 168.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UPP by 14 Mar 10, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 10, 2026 Basketligan Hogsbo 79–93 Uppsala 172 pts
- Dec 30, 2025 Basketligan Uppsala 82–83 Hogsbo 165 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Basketligan Uppsala 88–79 Hogsbo 167 pts
Last five games
- Sep 27: Sloga Uppsala 76, Uppsala 89. Won. Odds: Sloga Uppsala 1.48, Uppsala 2.53.
- Sep 25: Uppsala 72, Jamtland 78. Lost. Odds: Uppsala 4.94, Jamtland 1.16.
- Mar 29: Uppsala 65, BC Lulea 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Uppsala 75, BC Lulea 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 24: BC Lulea 80, Uppsala 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 29: Hogsbo 96, Boras 90. Won. Odds: Hogsbo 3.06, Boras 1.34.
- Mar 17: Jamtland 85, Hogsbo 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Hogsbo 81, Umea 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: Hogsbo 79, Uppsala 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 6: Sodertalje 110, Hogsbo 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Hogsbo dropped from 3.20 to 1.80 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Uppsala, 2 for Hogsbo.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Uppsala.
- 168.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
- 5th vs 9th in the Basketligan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UPP moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.95 |
| HOG moneyline | 3.20 | moved down 1.80 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| UPP spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 | |
| 11 | 7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Uppsala host Hogsbo in the Basketligan on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.